Bob Truman
Bob Truman, First Place Realty 403-650-2514 Information is Power!

 

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Cougar Ridge

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What's New 


 Feb 4, 2012FFeb 4, 2012

One and two bedrooms that are under $1,000 go pretty quick . . . but any type of apartments that are in a decent area are being snatched up very quickly.” Read more in the Herald: Vacancy rates falling as economy picks up 

Feb 2, 2012

"A judge granted the order on Monday"
As you may already know, I'm proceeding with a defamation lawsuit against an internet blogger who has published untrue statements about me; lies in other words. Here is an ongoing case which parallels what I am doing. It illustrates the procedure in bringing someone to justice Golfer Phil Mickelson fed up with person posting "absolutely untrue" statements

Update Feb 3 in Calgary Herald: 

Golfer Phil Mickelson wins lawsuit to reveal identity of online vicious commenter

. Update Feb 3: http://www.calgaryherald.com/sports/story.html?id=6097658 

Feb 2, 2012

Home sales in Calgary are off to a slow start in 2012 as buyers show continuing caution, says the Calgary Real Estate Board. Read more in the Herald: Calgary home buyers show caution


Jan 2012 Stats Update

The median price was $395,000, an increase of $5,000 from 2011.

The average price was $438,683, a decrease of $15,480 from 2011.

Sales at 773 were down 18, or 2.3% from 2011.

Inventory was up by less than 1%

New listings were down by 226, or 11.6%

Historical Comparisons to the average of the past 3 years:

Sales in Dec were up 10.3%

New listings were down 10.9%

Inventory was down 6%

Median price is up 1.9%

Crash Watch: 6 years and still waiting

 


Jan 30, 2012
The Jan median price at $395,000 is up $5,000, or 1.3% compared to Jan 2011.

Jan 30, 2012
Sales of million-dollar homes are down dramatically in January compared to last year. So far in Jan 2012, only 12 million-dollar homes have sold. In Jan 2011, 24 were sold.

Jan 30, 2012
Compared to the past three years, new listings are down in January, sales are up.

Sales and new listings compared to the past 3 years

For the period Jan 1-29 Sales New listings
2012 702 1603
Average 2009 - 2011 642 1850
2012 change +9.3% -13.3%


Jan 26, 2012
Based on pendings, we can expect the SFH median price to drop before the end of the month. The 30-day sold price today is $390,000. The median list price of pending sales is at $386,950.

Jan 25, 2012
Interest rates are predicted to stay low for another 2 years. Fed plans ultra-low rates until end of 2014 

Jan 21, 2012
Sales for the first 20 days of January are higher than any of the previous 3 years. New listings are lower than the previous 3 years. 

Jan 19, 2012
It its annual forecast, CREB predicted single-family home sales would jump 12.2 per cent in 2012 to 14,800 transactions while the average sale price would increase by 2.1 per cent to $476,000.

It also forecasts year-over-year sales growth of 5.9 per cent for condominiums to 5,700 units with the average price increasing by 1.7 per cent to $292,00. Read more Calgary MLS sales and prices to rise in 2012


Jan 18, 2012
Sales to first-time buyers were up 11% in December compared to last year. Overall, sales in December were down 1.5%.

Jan 17, 2012 
Bob Jablonski, incoming president of CREB:“I think the consumers started seeing more confidence in the economy overall and they got off the fence and started buying properties. Well-priced listings were selling. There’s always a market for well-priced listings. So people are moving on those.”

Read more in the Herald: New CREB president forecasts upswing in real estate market

Jan 17, 2012
SFH pending sales are 10% lower than last year on this date, however the list price is almost identical to last year.

Jan 16, 2012 

Inventory shortage looming?
Single family home listings for the opening 15 days of 2012 are down 8% from the same time period last year and off 19% from the average of the previous 10 years. With a total of 801 listings, it's lower than only one year in the past ten. With low inventory and a shortage of new listings, it's no wonder that sales are down 11% compared to last year. Buyers have very little to choose from.  With low inventory and  With

Jan 13, 2012
BMO has announced the lowest 5-year fixed mortgage rate in Candian history Why are mortgage rates hitting record lows? Is it worthwhile to try and break your current mortgage? 

Jan 4, 2012
"All those positive economic indicators include strong economic growth, increased net migration and continued employment growth" Calgary's real estate market poised to turn the corner in 2012 

Jan 3, 2012
The Calgary Herald on the 2011 Calgary housing statistics Calgary's residential real estate market saw increased activity in 2011


Jan 3, 2012
Don't just accept what you hear from the bank regarding your payout penalty...

Lawyer's tip

From Fric, Lowenstein and Co. LLP
Barristers and Solicitors

"GREAT JOB BY A REALTOR"

I see files on which Realtors have done a great job for their clients. From time to time I will pass these on to you. (I will change the names to protect the innocent!)

 “June” was recently asked to list a property. She contacted the mortgage company to confirm the balance due on her clients’ mortgage. The mortgage company gave June the balance which included a penalty of over $9,000.00. June thought this looked too large in light of the rate her clients were paying and the balance of the term. She asked the clients for their mortgage documents, checked them and saw that the penalty didn’t seem to make much sense.

 June pressed the bank for an explanation. She had to call the bank several times before the bank provided the basis of its calculation of the payout penalty. When June reviewed that against the clients’ documents it was clear that the bank was overcharging.

After much resistance, the bank backed off, agreed the realtor was right, and reduced the penalty by $6,400.00.

The clients love June for what she did for them!

Payout penalties amount to an enormous amount of money for financial institutions. They can be complicated. I wonder how often people are overcharged?

Once a deal is signed, everyone is under the gun to close the deal. So its best to take a look at payout penalties at the outset of a listing, as was done here.

Bill Fric 


Dec 31, 2011 Stats Update

The median price for Dec 2011 was $393,750, an increase of $4,750 from 2010.

The average price for Dec 2011 was $453,629, an increase of $12,288 from 2010.

Dec sales at 722 were down 11, or 1.5% from 2010.

Year-to-date sales were up 1095, or 9.1% in 2011.

Year-end inventory was up by 1.8%

New listings in Dec were up by 17, or 2.3%

Historical Comparisons to the average of the past 3 years:

Sales in Dec were up 9.4%

New listings were down 4.5%

Inventory was down 4%

Median price is up $3,750.

******

The year ahead

What will happen in 2012? The blogger named Devil's Advocate has predicted it on the Greater Fool blog:

"If the whole period since 2008 is any indication, we are in a flat-line and will experience neither an up nor down over the course of the year ahead. This is the new norm. This is a return to norm, not a departure from it. And this is good because it is stable and predictable and consumers can be reasonably confident going forward that the ground will not shift so much one way or the other going forward. "


Predictions 2011:

ReMax was most accurate, alberta bubble blog(squidly) was off by 146%

The following predictions were made for Calgary SFH for Dec 31, 2011:

  Price prediction Actual Error

CREA(Canadian Real Estate Association)

YTD avg 454,688 466,402 -2.6%

RBC

Dec avg 442,223 453,629 -2.6%

CREB(Calgary Real Estate Board)

YTD avg 480,000 466,402 +2.8%

ReMax

Dec avg 450,167 453,629 -.8%

Toronto-Dominion Bank

Dec avg 432,514 453,629 -4.9%

Squidly(AlbertaBubbleBlog)

Dec median 160,000 393,750 -146%

Garth Turner(theGreaterFool)*

Dec avg 364,998 453,629 -24.3%

Bob Truman's CC Index*

Dec median 407,000 393,750 +3.3%

* Prediction was made mid-year

See original predictions here Predictions/page

 


Dec 27, 2011 "Calgary and Edmonton to lead the pack"

Next year is shaping up to be a busy year for real estate sales in Calgary. The stable prices, combined with an upsurge in economic activity will see an influx of people to the city. This economic forecast is predicting better than average growth for Calgary housing in 2012:

TD Economics: "Calgary and Edmonton will come out on the winning side, while price corrections will sap the strength of the powerhouse markets in Toronto and Vancouver. "

Among the 12 major markets profiled in this report, Calgary and Edmonton ought to lead the pack.” Solid economic fundamentals and the absence of a recent run-up in prices support our call."

Read the entire report Year in review and a look ahead 

ReMax: "the average MLS sale price will jump by three per cent in 2012 to $417,000, while sales will rise by five per cent to 23,600 units." Read more: Strong 2012 forecast for city's house prices 

 ""Rhttp://www.td.com/document/PDF/economics/special/sg1211_housing.pdf 

Read the entire reporDec 24, 2011
 

Who do you think was off by 140% in their prediction for Calgary home prices for 2011? Who made the most accurate predictions? How did Garth Turner's weasel predictions turn out? Watch for the Predictions Update coming soon.


Nov 2011 stats summary:

Single Family Homes

Median price at $402,925 is up $7,925, or 2% from Oct. It's up .8% from Nov 2010 when it was $399,900

Year-to-date median price is $406,500, down from $408,000 in 2010.

Average price at $470,665 is up $15,266 or 3.4% compared to Oct. It's up $15,069 or 3.3% from Nov 2010 when it was $455,596

Sales price per sq ft at $296 is up $4 compared to Oct. It’s up $3 compared to Nov 2010.

Sales were up 8.1% compared to Nov 2010.

Sales are up 8.7% compared to the average for the past 3 years.

Year-to-date sales are up 9.7%

Inventory on Nov 30 was 3761, which is 2.8% lower than last year.

New listings at 1285 were down 2.3% compared to last year.

New listings are down 9.3% compared to the average for the past 3 years.

The absorption rate of 3.9 means that we have a 3.9 month, or 117 days, supply of homes on the market. Last year, there was a 4.3 month supply. For homes under $500,000, there is a 3.3 month supply.

Days on Market(DOM)were unchanged at 52 in Nov. Last year, it was also 52.

35 homes sold for $1 million or more. Last year, there were 26.

Price reductions are up 2% compared to last year. We've averaged 42 price reductions per day over the past week. Last year was 41. Last month was 74.

18% of the homes listed in Nov already have a sale or a conditional sale. Last month was 14%. Last year, it was 16%.

Condos

Median price at $250,000 is down $12,625 from Oct.

Median price is down $4,150 compared to Nov 2010.

Sales at 393 are up 26.8% compared to Nov 2010

  


Nov 30, 2011
With a CC index of 0 in November, we can expect prices to stay reasonably stable for the forseeable future.


CC Index

Sales & new listings compared to the historic average for single family homes

 

Sales
(A)

New listings

(B)

CC Index

A-B

2011

Nov

-15%

-15%

0

Oct

-17%

-11%

-6

Sep

-15%

+4%

-19

Aug

-15%

0%

-15

Jul

-17%

-6%

-11

Jun

-11%

-1%

-10

May

-20%

-5%

-15

Apr

-25%

-9%

-16

Mar

-15%

-4%

-11

Feb

-12%

+12%

-24

Jan

-24%

-4%

-20

2010

Dec

-17%

-18%

+1

Nov

-23%

-14%

-9

Oct

-27%

-14%

-13

Sep

-24%

+2%

-26

Aug

-36%

-8%

-28

Jul

-37%

-12%

-25

Jun

-35%

+13%

-48

May

-25%

+12%

-37

Apr

-19%

+25%

-44

Mar

-14%

+20%

-34

Feb

-24%

+3%

-27

Jan

-29%

-15%

-14

CC Index: The lower the number, the more likely we’re heading for lower prices.
For more information about the Crash/Confidence Index see Crash/Confidence Index Explained

 


Nov 30, 2011 Stats
For SFH in November,
Median price was up $3,025(+.8%) compared to last year
Average price was up $15,266(+3.4%)
Sales were up 8.2%
Inventory was down 2.8%
Year-to-date sales are up 9.7%
Pendings are up 13%


Nov 29, 2011
First-time buyers are up 34% compared to Nov 2010.

Nov 26, 2011
Compared to the average of the past three years, sales for Nov are up 13% while new listings are down 8%. This trend usually means we're heading for abnormally low inventory levels. If inventory drops below 3500, a seller's market can't be far behind.


Nov 22, 2011
SFH pending sales are 18% higher than last year. Condos are 22% higher.

Nov 19, 2011
The SFH price usually drops in the fall, goes up in the spring. Last year between June-October, the median price dropped $31,000, or 7.4%. This year the drop was only $22,250. or 5.3%.


Nov 15, 2011
Stats to give the bubble bloggers fits: Condo pending sales are running 38% higher than last year.

Nov 14, 2011
 @ Keystone: "this pipeline wasn’t ever really that much more in the interests of the people of Alberta than it was in those of the people of Nebraska. So let’s build an upgrader right here in Alberta and keep the jobs and the profits in Canada.

We can continue to supply our friends in the United States with a product they need, but one in which the value has been added by Canadian hands, earning wealth that stays in Canada." http://www.albertadiary.ca/ 

Nov 14, 2011
Brand new home sales in the inner-city are up 97% compared to last year. Year-to-date, 134 homes built this year have been sold, compared to 68 last year.   

Nov 14, 2011
Inner-city builders are showing more confidence in the future. Sales of older inner-city homes on 50' lots are up 15% for the past 3 months compared to last year. Many of these homes are tear-downs, with 2 infills being built in their place.

Nov 14, 2011
Pending sales are 21% higher than last year at this time. The median list price of SFH pendings is at $409,900 which forecasts a stable median price over the coming week.

 After all, this pipeline wasn’t ever really that much more in the interests of the people of Alberta than it was in those of the people of Nebraska. So let’s build an upgrader right here in Alberta and keep the jobs and the profits in Canada.

We can continue to supply our friends in the United States with a product they need, but one in which the value has been added by Canadian hands, earning wealth that stays in Canada.
 After all, this pipeline wasn’t ever really that much more in the interests of the people of Alberta than it was in those of the people of Nebraska. So let’s build an upgrader right here in Alberta and keep the jobs and the profits in Canada.

We can continue to supply our friends in the United States with a product they need, but one in which the value has been added by Canadian hands, earning wealth that stays in Canada.
 After all, this pipeline wasn’t ever really that much more in the interests of the people of Alberta than it was in those of the people of Nebraska. So let’s build an upgrader right here in Alberta and keep the jobs and the profits in Canada.

We can continue to supply our friends in the United States with a product they need, but one in which the value has been added by Canadian hands, earning wealth that stays in Canada.
 

Nov 13, 2011
Contrary to anecdotal reports, SFH year-to-date average price in Canmore is up $97,077, or +12% compared to last year. Condo average price is up 10%.

Nov 13, 2011
We probably spend a lot of time confirming our own biases  You probably think you know all about self-delusion


CC Index

Sales & new listings compared to the historic average for single family homes

 

Sales
(A)

New listings

(B)

CC Index

A-B

2011

Oct

-17%

-11%

-6

Sep

-15%

+4%

-19

Aug

-15%

0%

-15

Jul

-17%

-6%

-11

Jun

-11%

-1%

-10

May

-20%

-5%

-15

Apr

-25%

-9%

-16

Mar

-15%

-4%

-11

Feb

-12%

+12%

-24

Jan

-24%

-4%

-20

2010

Dec

-17%

-18%

+1

Nov

-23%

-14%

-9

Oct

-27%

-14%

-13

Sep

-24%

+2%

-26

Aug

-36%

-8%

-28

Jul

-37%

-12%

-25

Jun

-35%

+13%

-48

May

-25%

+12%

-37

Apr

-19%

+25%

-44

Mar

-14%

+20%

-34

Feb

-24%

+3%

-27

Jan

-29%

-15%

-14

CC Index: The lower the number, the more likely we’re heading for lower prices.
For more information about the Crash/Confidence Index see Crash/Confidence Index Explained

 


Oct 2011 stats summary: 

Single Family Homes

Median price at $395,000 is down $5,000, or 1.3% from Sep. It's up 1.5% from Oct 2010 when it was $387,900.

Year-to-date median price is $407,000, down from $409,000 in 2010.

Average price at $455,399 is down $10,768 or 2.3% compared to Sep. It's up $10,655 or 2.4% from Oct 2010 when it was $444,744.

Sales price per sq ft at $292 is down $2 compared to Sep. It’s up $4 compared to Oct 2010.

Sales were up 11.4% compared to Oct 2010.

Sales are down 1% compared to the average for the past 3 years.

Year-to-date sales are up 9.9%

Inventory on Oct 31 was 4486, which is 1% lower than last year.

New listings at 1797 were up 1.8% compared to last year.

New listings are down 8.7% compared to the average for the past 3 years.

The absorption rate of 4.5 means that we have a 4.5 month, or 135 days, supply of homes on the market. Last year, there was a 5.1 month supply. For homes under $500,000, there is a 3.7 month supply.

Days on Market(DOM) increased to 52 in Oct from 48 in Sep. Last year, it was 50.

33 homes sold for $1 million or more. Last year, there were 25.

Price reductions are up 19% compared to last year. We've averaged 74 price reductions per day over the past week. Last year was 62. Last month was 88.

14% of the homes listed in Oct already have a sale or a conditional sale. Last month was 16%. Last year, it was 14%.

Condos

Median price at 262,625 is up $2,625 from Sep.

Median price is up $6,125 compared to Oct 2010.

Sales at 368 are up 19.9% compared to Oct 2010  


Sep 2011 stats summary:

Single Family Homes

Median price at $400,000 is down $2,250, or .6% from Aug. It's up 2.6% from Sep 2010 when it was $390,000.

Year-to-date median price is $408,000. Last year was $410,000.

Average price at $466,167 is up $12,198 or 2.7% compared to Aug. It's up $5,889 or 1.3% from Sep 2010 when it was $460,278.

Sales price per sq ft at $294 is up $4 compared to Aug. It’s up $9 compared to Sep 2010.

Sales were up 8% compared to Sep 2010.

Sales are down 8% compared to the average for the past 3 years.

Year-to-date sales are up 10%

Inventory on Sep 30 was 4753, which is 3% lower than last year.

New listings at 2327 were up 4% compared to last year.

New listings are up 4% compared to the average for the past 3 years.

The absorption rate of 4.6 means that we have a 4.6 month, or 138 days, supply of homes on the market. Last year, there was a 5.1 month supply. For homes under $500,000, there is a 3.8 month supply.

Days on Market(DOM) decreased to 48 in Sep from 49 in Aug. Last year, it was 52.

40 homes sold for $1 million or more. Last year, there were 34.

Price reductions are up 13% compared to last year. We've averaged 88 price reductions per day over the past week. Last year was 78. Last month was 62.

16% of the homes listed in Sep already have a sale or a conditional sale. Last month was 17%. Last year, it was 12%.

Condos

Median price at 260,000 is up $5,000 from Aug.

Median price is down $5,000 compared to Sep 2010.

Sales at 429 are up 17% compared to Sep 2010  


Sep 28, 2011
Housing sales and prices should remain fairly steady into next year, as a slowing economy is balanced by low mortgage rates and relatively low unemployment, a report to be issued Friday by BMO Capital Markets suggests. Read more: Positives balance negatives; housing market should remain stable in 2012 

Sep 20, 2011
According to the CMHC August had the highest number of monthly apartment starts since May 2008 with 451 units breaking ground. Read more: Another Calgary condo boom coming?

Sep 20, 2011
A new question has been posted. Take my online poll

Sep 16, 2011
The blog is back in business New post.. 

Sep 1, 2011
"We are seeing a lift in sales at boths ends of the market...” Read more Calgary MLS sales rise in August

Sep 1, 2011

Alberta topped all jurisdictions in North America for labour market performance over the last five years. Read more
Alberta labour market top performer 
 


Aug 2011 stats summary:

Single Family Homes

Median price at $402,250 is down $6,750, or 1.7% from Jul. It's up 1.8% from Aug 2010 when it was $395,000.

Year-to-date median price is $410,000, down $2,500 from 2010.

Average price at $453,969 is down $1,880 or .4% compared to Jul. It's  up $8,352 or 1.9% from Aug 2010 when it was $445,617.

Sales price per sq ft at $290 is down $1 compared to Jul. It’s the same as Aug 2010.

Sales were up 28% compared to Aug 2010.

Sales are exactly the same compared to the average for the past 3 years.

Year-to-date sales are up 10%.

Inventory on Aug 31 was 4573, which is 9% lower than last year.

New listings at 2112 were up 8% compared to last year.

New listings are up 3% compared to the average for the past 3 years.

The absorption rate of 4.1 means that we have a 4.1 month, or 123 days, supply of homes on the market. Last year, there was a 5.8 month supply. For homes under $500,000, there is a 3.5 month supply.

Days on Market(DOM)increased to 49 in Aug from 48 in Jul. Last year, it was 50.

32 homes sold for $1 million or more. Last year, there were 25.

Price reductions are down 23% compared to last year. We've averaged 62 price reductions per day over the past week. Last year was 81. Last month was 63.

17% of the homes listed in Aug already have a sale or a conditional sale. Last month was 17%. Last year, it was 14%.

Condos

Median price  at 255,000 is down $14,000 from Jul.

Median price is down $5,000 compared to Aug 2010.

Sales at 468 are up 29% compared to Aug 2010 


Mid-Year Predictions Update

  Prediction Error
CREB
Calgary Real Estate Board
Dec YTD avg $480,000 +1.6%
CMHC
Canada Mortgage and Housing
Dec YTD avg $463,450 -1.9%
CREA
Canadian Real Estate Association
Dec YTD avg $454,688 -3.9%
Royal Bank Dec avg $442,223 -8.5%
TD Bank Dec avg $432,514 -10.9%
Garth Turner
GreaterFool.ca
Spring avg $377,015 -27.2%

Squidly
AlbertaBubbleBlog

"a lot of people dont like what i write, but the fact is i have gotten it 100% right" "" 

Dec median $160,000 -161%

Original predictions are posted here

Also see Winners and losers 2010 

 Infamous quote from bubble blogger:
"at the end the day, the liars and frauds will be exposed "
 

 


Aug 30, 2011
Calgary is the fifth most liveable city in the world, according to the latest annual ranking compiled by the Economist Intelligence Unit. Calgary ranked 96.6 out of a maximum 100. Vanouver was third, and Toronto fourth. Read more calgary-worlds-5th-most-liveable-city. . Read.

Aug 29, 2011


What were they saying last year? A notorious doomer said in Aug 2010:

"Buyers won’t pony up when prices are eroding, jobs are elusive and the future uncertain. "

"Owning real estate may be the highway to hell. Has anyone told Calgary?"

"HouseAggeddon may await us"

"Ow " Read the stats below for an update. " Read Read the stats below for an update on his accuracy:

  • SFH year-to-date sales are 10% higher than in 2010.
     
  • SFH 30-day sales are up 24% compared to last year
     
  • Median price is up $5,000 compared to last year.
     
  • SFH pendings are 17% higher than last year. The median list price of pendings is $15,000 higher. Condo pendings are up 59% compared to last year, and the price is up $10,000.


Aug 20, 2011
The 30-day median price has dropped to $400,000. That's still $5,000 higher than Aug 2010.

Aug 20, 2011
SFH pending sales are 27% higher than last year at this time.

Aug 20, 2011
For the period Aug 1-19, sales are up 5% compared to the 3-year average. Compared to last year, sales are up 33%.  Compared to last year, sales are upC


Aug 19, 2011

No interest rate increases and no recession

BMO Capital Markets senior economist Michael Gregory on interest rates: "the current pause could last a long, long time."

Mark Carney, in the sames story “We're not against borrowing,” he said. “But there needs to be an element of prudence in peoples' personal affairs....while the economy currently needs interest rates to remain low, consumers should not get in over their heads with debt loads they may not be able to afford"  Carney sees no recession. 

Aug 15, 2011
For the period Aug 1-14, sales are up 1% compared to the 3-year average. New listings are up 3%.

Aug 10, 2011

How is all this market turmoil affecting real estate in Calgary? Nothing much yet.

The best indicator to look at is the pending sales. With 314 SFH pendings, that's down from 322 on Aug 1, but it's up 24% over last year. The list price of pendings is at $399,900, so be prepared for a small drop in the sales price over the coming week.

Condo pendings are up compared to the begining of the month, 151 vs 131, and are up 52% compared to last year. The median list price is at $272,400. Shouldn't be much change in the condo sales price over the coming week.

Those who were forecasting no interest rate increase are looking more and more like they'll be correct.

The 30-day median price, at $410,000 is up 3.8% compared to Aug 2010. That's better than the stock market.

Jul 12, 2011
Compared to the average of the past 3 years, sales are down 11% in July. New listings are down 19%.

Jul 12, 2011
The estimated construction value of building permit applications for the month of June 2011, $420 million, is up 21 per cent compared to June 2010 . Read more Up 21%, previously stalled project restarted.

Jul 8, 2011
For the first 7 days of July, SFH sales are up 31% compared to last year. New listings are up 9%.

Jul 5, 2011
For the first six months of this year, SFH inventory increased 75%. Last year, it was 192%. Where's that glut of listings which so many were calling for?

Jul 5, 2011
Just received this notice from a mortgage broker:

It's official! The big banks have increased their fixed rates as of this morning and the mortgage banks are to follow suit. 
 
Why are rates moving?
 
The Greek crisis had investors running scared. In fact, for the previous two weeks, the stock markets were getting hammered as a result. The bond market experienced a flood of activity which drove the yields down, as previously explained in my last email. Now that the Greek crisis has been adverted, at least for the short-term, the stock market is now back in the green and up over 13,000 and likewise the bond yields are starting to climb. That said, the banks don't have to increase rates as the spread are well within the comfort zone, checkout the CMD Rate Barometer.
 
The increase can't come quick enough for the banks as an increase in posted rates means an increase in the Benchmark qualifying rate, which means qualifying for the shorter fixed rate terms and all variable terms has just become more difficult. This will force some consumers into longer fixed rate terms.
 
Anyway, the increase will put the banks around 4.04% for their 5 yr fixed rate and under 3.89%-3.99% for the mortgage banks. Don't expect the rates increase dramatically, as it's just not going to happen. All eyes are on the US and what might happen August 2, 2011 and the Greek crisis will eventually come back to haunt the markets once again.
 


Jul 5, 2011
Expect sales to continue to be much higher than last year. Pendings are up 35% compared to last year on this date.

Jul 4, 2011
From the Calgary Herald Calgary MLS sales soar in June.

Jul 4, 2011
Last year, the median price of SFH dropped $31,000(7.4%) between June and October. What will happen this year? Take my online poll

Jul 4, 2011
The median price in June was down 4.9% from its all-time high of $439,000 in June 2007. It's up 68% since Jun 2005.

Jul 4, 2011
SFH inventory is down 33% from the peak in May 2008 when it reached its all-time high of 7,099. Inventory is 21% lower than last year.

Jul 4, 2011
Historical statistics show that when inventory drops below 3500 in Dec, prices rise the following spring. This past year, inventory was 2712 in Dec, and the median price rose $34,000(+8.7%) in the spring. If the present trends continue, we will once again see inventory well below 3500 in Dec.

Jul 3, 2011
Good debt is anything that builds your asset base or gives you the opportunity to build your asset base. Common good debt includes mortgages, investment loans, and student loans, because they have the potential to earn more money, and even a car loan if it is going to lead to a better job. Read more: Canadians owe it to themselves to understand good debt vs bad debt  


June 2011 stats summary:

Single Family Homes

Median price at $417,250 is down $5,750 or 1.4% from May. It's down .2% from Jun 2010 when it was $418,900.

Year-to-date median price at $410,000 is down 1.4% from 2010.

Average price at $479,580 is down $9,902 or 2% compared to May. It's down $2,384 or .5% from Jun 2010 when it was $481,964.

Year-to-date average price at $472,330 is up 1% from 2010.

Sales price per sq ft at $301 is down $4 compared to May. It’s down $7, or 2.3%, from Jun 2010 when it was $308.

Sales are up 32% compared to Jun 2010. Sales are down 11% compared to the historic average for Jun.

Inventory on Jun 30 was 4744, which is 21% lower than last year. It's 7% lower than we normally see at this time of year(compared to 2007-2010, the only years for which I have accurate data).

New listings at 2424 are down 11% compared to last year. New listings are down 1% compared to the historic average for Jun.

The absorption rate of 3.4 means that we have a 3.4 month, or 102 days, supply of homes on the market. Last year, there was a 5.7 month supply. For homes under $500,000, there is a 3 month supply.

Price reductions are down 25% compared to last year. We’ve averaged 77 price reductions per day over the past week. Last year was 102. Last month was 76. That includes SFH and condos.

20% of the homes listed in Jun already have a sale or conditional sale. Last month was 22%. Last year was 13%.

Days on Market(DOM) increased to 42 in Jun from 41 in May. Last year, it was 39.

50 homes sold for $1 million or more. Last year there were 38.

Condos

Median price of condos at $265,000 is down 1.8% from 2010. It's down 1.3% from May.

Sales at 581 are up 31% compared to Jun 2010.  


More stats to obsess over

Sales & new listings compared to the historic average
for single family homes

 

Sales
(A)

New listings

(B)

CC Index

A-B

2011

Jun -11% -1% -10

May

-20%

-5%

-15

Apr

-25%

-9%

-16

Mar

-15%

-4%

-11

Feb

-12%

+12%

-24

Jan

-24%

-4%

-20

2010

Dec

-17%

-18%

+1

Nov

-23%

-14%

-9

Oct

-27%

-14%

-13

Sep

-24%

+2%

-26

Aug

-36%

-8%

-28

Jul

-37%

-12%

-25

Jun

-35%

+13%

-48

May

-25%

+12%

-37

Apr

-19%

+25%

-44

Mar

-14%

+20%

-34

Feb

-24%

+3%

-27

Jan

-29%

-15%

-14

CC Index: The lower the number, the more likely we’re heading for lower prices.
For more information about the Crash/Confidence Index see Crash/Confidence Index Explained

 




Jul 1, 2011
I'm thrilled to say I live in the best country on earth. Happy Canada Day, everyone!




Jun 19, 2011
Over the past 30 days, SFH sales are up 18% compared to last year. New listings are down 14%.

Jun 18, 2011
Looking for a realtor with comprehensive market knowledge to help you with all the details of buying a house? Give me a call 403-650-2514.

Jun 18, 2011
Have we reached peak inventory for this year? Take my online poll

Jun 14, 2011
TD Economics no longer ex­pects the Bank of Canada to raise interest rates this year. The tightening of monetary policy is expected to begin in January 2012, and the overnight rate is only expected to increase to 2.00% next year. Read more No rate hikes in 2011: TD


Jun 9, 2011
The wheels of economic growth are in motion in Alberta as the province reclaims its position as one of Canada’s fastest growing economies, says the latest Economic Outlook report released today by RBC Economics. Read more: Alberta economy gaining steam

Jun 7, 2011
Over the past 30 days, SFH sales are up 11% compared to last year. New listings are down 10%.

Jun 4, 2011
Is Calgary's boom back? Take my online poll


Jun 4, 2011
Over the past 30 days, SFH sales are up 8% compared to last year. New listings are down 13%.

Jun 2, 2011
Development permits were approved for 41 new single-family homes in the inner city in May. Last year, 46 were approved.


May 2011 stats summary:

Single Family Homes

Median price at $423,000 is up $3,000 or .7% from Apr. It's up .7% from May 2010 when it was $420,000.

Year-to-date median price is down $7,000(1.7%).

Average price at $489,482 is up $9,827 or 2.1% compared to Apr. It's up $6,162 or 1.3% from May 2010 when it was $483,240.

Year-to-date average price is up $5,558(1.2%).

Sales price per sq ft at $305 is up $7 compared to Apr. It’s down $2, or 1%, from May 2010 when it was $307.

Sales are up 5% compared to May 2010. Sales are down 20% compared to the historic average for May.

Inventory on May 31 was 4616, which is 18% lower than last year. It's 9% lower than we normally see at this time of year(compared to 2007-2010, the only years for which I have accurate data).

New listings at 2552 are down 14% compared to last year. New listings are down 5% compared to the historic average for May.

The absorption rate of 3.5 means that we have a 3.5 month, or 105 days, supply of homes on the market. Last year, there was a 4.5 month supply. For homes under $500,000, there is a 3.2 month supply.

Price reductions are down 41% compared to last year. We’ve averaged 76 price reductions per day over the past week. Last year was 129. Last month was 68. That includes SFH and condos.

22% of the homes listed in May already have a sale or conditional sale. Last month was 21%. Last year was 16%.

Days on Market(DOM) was the same as last month at 41. Last year, it was 38.

52 homes sold for $1 million or more. Last year there were 55.

Condos

Median price of condos at $268,500 is down $11,400 from 2010. It's up $8,500 or 3.3% from Apr.

Sales at 503 are down 3% compared to May 2010. 

*****************************************************************************************

More stats to obsess over

Sales & new listings compared to the historic average
for single family homes

 

Sales
(A)

New listings

(B)

CC Index

A-B

2011

May

-20%

-5%

-15

Apr

-25%

-9%

-16

Mar

-15%

-4%

-11

Feb

-12%

+12%

-24

Jan

-24%

-4%

-20

2010

Dec

-17%

-18%

+1

Nov

-23%

-14%

-9

Oct

-27%

-14%

-13

Sep

-24%

+2%

-26

Aug

-36%

-8%

-28

Jul

-37%

-12%

-25

Jun

-35%

+13%

-48

May

-25%

+12%

-37

Apr

-19%

+25%

-44

Mar

-14%

+20%

-34

Feb

-24%

+3%

-27

Jan

-29%

-15%

-14

CC Index: The lower the number, the more likely we’re heading for lower prices.
For more information about the Crash/Confidence Index see Crash/Confidence Index Explained

 


May 31, 2011
The sellers didn't materialize as expected this spring. SFH inventory has increased 73% since Jan 1. Last year, it increased 175%.

May 31, 2011
No interest rate increase. Carney holds rates steady for now.The next Bank of Canada meeting is July 19, 2011. A couple of economists suggest a quarter point increase in July while others predict the BOC will hold off until September. 

May 31, 2011
The bubble bloggers are on a five-year losing streak. See the new post on My blog.

May 28, 2011
Over the past 4 days, homes have sold for list price or higher in Oakridge, Mt Royal, Canyon Meadows, Discovery Ridge, Marlborough Park, South Calgary, Pump Hill, Silver Springs, West Hillhurst(2), Cougar Ridge, Chaparral, Dalhousie, Bridgeland, Silverado(2), Arbour Lake, Temple, and Cedarbrae.

May 25, 2011
The Teranet house price index for March shows Calgary year-over-year prices down 3.3%. CREB stats show the median price was down 5.4%. Teranet 

May 24, 2011
Pending sales are 24% higher than last year on this date. May will show an increase in sales over last year of 9%.

May 20, 2011
An article with erroneous information about Calgary housing data was written in Canadian Business magazine yesterday. See My blog.

May 20, 2011
For the period May 1-19, SFH sales have surpassed last year, 842 compared to 833. New listings are down 15%, 1696 compared to 1995.

May 15, 2011
Over the past week, 10% of SFH sales were for list price or higher.

May 12, 2011
Compared to the averages for the past 3 years, sales are down 3% in May. New listings are down 15%.

May 11, 2011
On average, Canadian homeowners have $222,000 in home equity, equal to 66% of the value of their home. Read more Canadian mortgage data.. 

May 11, 2011
The 30-day SFH average price at $492, 146 is the highest we've seen since July 2007 when it reached it's peak at $505,920.

May 7, 2011
For the past 30 days, sales are down 9% compared to last year. New listings are down 25%.

May 7, 2011
Seven homes sold for over $1 million dollars yesterday.

May 7, 2011
Homes sold yesterday for list price or higher in Silver Springs, Beddington, Harvest Hills, Renfrew, Cougar Ridge, and North Glenmore.

May 6, 2011
Development permits were approved for 50 new single-family homes in the inner city in April. Last year, 40 were approved.


Apr 2011 stats summary:


Single Family Homes

Median price at $420,000 is up $20,000, or 5% from Mar. It's up .7% from Apr 2010 when it was $417,000.

 

Year-to-date median price is down $15,000(3.6%).

Average price at $479,575 is up $16,628 or 3.6% compared to Mar. It's up $19,197 or 4.2% from Apr 2010 when it was $460,378.

 

Year-to-date average price is up $5,073(1.1%).

Sales price per sq ft at $298 is up $4 compared to Mar. It’s down $3, or 1%, from Apr 2010 when it was $301.

Sales are down 10% compared to Apr 2010. Sales are down 25% compared to the historic average for Apr.

Inventory on Apr 30 was 4395, which is 12% lower than last year. It's 3% lower than we normally see at this time of year(compared to 2007-2010, the only years for which I have accurate data).

New listings at 2299 are down 25% compared to last year. New listings are down 9% compared to the historic average for Apr.

The absorption rate of 3.6 means that we have a 3.6 month, or 108 days, supply of homes on the market. Last year, there was a 3.7 month supply. For homes under $500,000, there is a 3.2 month supply.

Price reductions are down 35% compared to last year. We’ve averaged 68 price reductions per day over the past week. Last year was 104. Last month was 53. That includes SFH and condos.

21% of the homes listed in Apr already have a sale or conditional sale. Last month was 29%. Last year was 19%.

Days on Market(DOM) increased to 41 in Apr from 39 in Mar. Last year, it was 36.

36
homes sold for $1 million or more. Last year there were 29.

 

10% of homes sold for list price or higher. Last month was 7%.

Condos


Median price of condos at $260,000 is up $4,000 from Mar. It's down $7,500 or 2.8% from Apr 2010.

Sales at 535 are down 16% compared to Apr 2010.

 

*******************************************************************************************************

Stats to Obsess Over

 

Sales & new listings compared to the historic average for single family homes

 

Sales
(A)

New listings

(B)

CC Index

A-B

2011

Apr

-25%

-9%

-16

Mar

-15%

-4%

-11

Feb

-12%

+12%

-24

Jan

-24%

-4%

-20

2010

Dec

-17%

-18%

+1

Nov

-23%

-14%

-9

Oct

-27%

-14%

-13

Sep

-24%

+2%

-26

Aug

-36%

-8%

-28

Jul

-37%

-12%

-25

Jun

-35%

+13%

-48

May

-25%

+12%

-37

Apr

-19%

+25%

-44

Mar

-14%

+20%

-34

Feb

-24%

+3%

-27

Jan

-29%

-15%

-14

CC Index: The lower the number, the more likely we’re heading for lower prices.
For more information about the Crash/Confidence Index see Crash/Confidence Index Explained


April 28, 2011
Economists from Scotia Capital are now suggesting that interest rates won't rise anytime soon. Higher loonie suggest rates won't change

April 27, 2011
The Teranet house price index shows prices in Calgary declining 3.5% Feb over Feb. The CREB statistics show the median price declined 2.8%.

April 26, 2011
The 30-day SFH median price is at $425,000 today. That's $8,000 higher than last year. Sales price per sq ft is down slightly compared to last year. That means people are buying larger houses this year.

April 26, 2011
After declining since March 18, SFH sales will be increasing over the coming week. Pendings are 16% higher today than last year.

April 20, 2011
We've averaged 64 price reductions per day over the past week. That's down considerably compared to last year when it was 104. During the last week in March, the average was 53.

April 20, 2011
For the period April 1-20, sales are down 10% compared to last year. New listings are down 21%.

April 14, 2011
SFH inventory has grown 58% since Jan 1. Last year, it increased by 116%.


April 11, 2011
Over the past 30 days, new listings are down 23% compared to last year. Sales are down 13%. You can see more Calgary Market Trends.

April 8, 2011
Being rich in resources gives a nation an incredible economic advantage in today's world...A good example of this is our neighbor to the north, Canada. Read more Outperforming economy, strong resources.

April 8, 2011
Is Garth Turner ready to throw in the towel? Read my new Blog post, then vote in the Online poll: When will Garth end it?


Mar 2011 stats summary:


Single Family Homes

Median price at $400,000 is the same as Feb. It's down 5.4% from Mar 2010 when it was $423,000.

Average price at $462,947 is up $1,161 or .3% compared to Feb. It's down $8,322 or 1.8% from Mar 2010 when it was $471,269.

Sales price per sq ft at $294 is up $2 compared to Feb. It’s down $14, or 4.6%, from Mar 2010 when it was $308.

Sales are down 3% compared to Mar 2010. Sales are down 15% compared to the historic average for Mar.

Inventory on Mar 31 was 4024, which is .3% higher than last year. It's 3% lower than we normally see at this time of year(compared to 2007-2010, the only years for which I have accurate data).

New listings at 2434 are down 19% compared to last year. New listings are down 4% compared to the historic average for Mar.

The absorption rate of 3.0 means that we have a 3.0 month, or 90 days, supply of homes on the market. Last year, there was a 2.9 month supply. For homes under $500,000, there is a 2.7 month supply.

Price reductions are down 35% compared to last year. We’ve averaged 53 price reductions per day over the past week. Last year was 81. Last month was 49. That includes SFH and condos.

29% of the homes listed in Mar already have a sale or conditional sale. Last month was 24%. Last year was 26%.

Days on Market(DOM) decreased to 39 in Mar from 45 in Feb. Last year, it was 33.

43
homes sold for $1 million or more. Last year there were 33.

 

7% of homes sold for list price or higher. Last month was 10%.

Condos


Median price of condos at $256,000 is down 4.1% from Feb. It's down 19,000 or 6.9% from Mar 2010.

Sales at 581 are down 4.9% compared to Mar 2010.
*********************************************************************

Stats to Obsess Over

 

Sales & new listings compared to the historic average for single family homes

 

Sales
(A)

New listings

(B)

CC Index

A-B

2011

Mar

-15%

-4%

-11

Feb

-12%

+12%

-24

Jan

-24%

-4%

-20

2010

Dec

-17%

-18%

+1

Nov

-23%

-14%

-9

Oct

-27%

-14%

-13

Sep

-24%

+2%

-26

Aug

-36%

-8%

-28

Jul

-37%

-12%

-25

Jun

-35%

+13%

-48

May

-25%

+12%

-37

Apr

-19%

+25%

-44

Mar

-14%

+20%

-34

Feb

-24%

+3%

-27

Jan

-29%

-15%

-14

CC Index: The lower the number, the more likely we’re heading for lower prices.
For more information about the Crash/Confidence Index see Crash/Confidence Index Explained


Mar 29
Calgary is rated as the third richest city in the world. Read more in the Herald Calgary among richest cities in the world.

Mar 28
After being substantially higher than last year for 11 consecutive months, inventory at the end of March will barely be above last year's level. Inventory is up 50% compared to Dec. Last year it was up 95%.

Mar 24, 2011
For the period Mar 1-23, SFH sales are up 6% compared to last year. new listings are down 18%.

Mar 24, 2011
Over the past 3 days, homes have sold for list price or higher in Springbank Hill, Hawkwood, Edgemont, Lake Bonavista, New Brighton, Tuscany, Haysboro, Copperfield, Taradale, Forest Lawn(2), Martindale, Ogden, and Penbrooke.

Mar 18, 2011
Beginning today, all new CMHC-insured mortgages will have a maximum amortization of 30 years. Previously it was 35 years. Some believe this will be the start of the real estate crash because it will remove so many buyers from the market.

Mar 12, 2011
For the period Mar 1-11, sales are up 22% compared to last year. New listings are down 12%.

Mar 8
Development permits were issued for 25 new single-family homes in the inner city in Feb.

Mar 8, 2011
For the period Mar 1-7, sales are up 18% compared to last year. New listings are down 7%.

Mar 1, 2011
Why did prices and sales go up in Feb? Take my online poll

 


Feb 2011 stats summary:


Single Family Homes

Median price
 at $400,000 is up $10,000 or 2.6% from Jan. It's down 2.7% from Feb 2010 when it was $411,000.

Average price at $461,786 is up $7,623 or 1.7%% compared to Jan. It's up $3,532 or .8% from Feb 2010 when it was $458,254.

Sales price per sq ft at $292 is up $8 compared to Jan. It’s down $12, or 4%, from Feb 2010 when it was $304.

Sales are up 13% compared to Feb 2010. Sales are down 12% compared to the historic average for Feb.

Inventory on Feb 28 was 3504, which is 13% higher than last year. It's 3.2% lower than we normally see at this time of year(compared to 2007-2010, the only years for which I have accurate data).

New listings at 2268 were up 5.3% compared to last year. New listings are up 12% compared to the historic average for Feb.

The absorption rate of 3.0 means that we have a 3.0 month, or 90 days, supply of homes on the market. Last year, there was also a 3.0 month supply. For homes under $500,000, there is a 2.4 month supply.

Price reductions are up 9% compared to last year. We’ve averaged 49 price reductions per day over the past week. Last year was 45. Last month was 39. That includes SFH and condos.

24% of the homes listed in Feb already have a sale or conditional sale. Last month was 21%. Last year was 34%.

Days on Market(DOM) decreased to 45 in Feb from 56 in Jan. Last year, it was 35.

3
5 homes sold for $1 million or more. Last year was 20.

Condos

 

Median price of condos at $267,000 is up $12,000 from Jan.

Median price of condos is up $1,100 or .4% from Feb 2010.

Sales at 468 are down 13% compared to Feb 2010.
***********************************************************

Stats to Obsess Over

Sales & new listings compared to the historic average for single family homes

 

Sales
(A)

New listings

(B)

CC Index

A-B

2011

Feb

-12

+12%

-24

Jan

-24%

-4%

-20

2010

Dec

-17%

-18%

+1

Nov

-23%

-14%

-9

Oct

-27%

-14%

-13

Sep

-24%

+2%

-26

Aug

-36%

-8%

-28

Jul

-37%

-12%

-25

Jun

-35%

+13%

-48

May

-25%

+12%

-37

Apr

-19%

+25%

-44

Mar

-14%

+20%

-34

Feb

-24%

+3%

-27

Jan

-29%

-15%

-14

CC Index: The lower the number, the more likely we’re heading for lower prices.
For more information about the Crash/Confidence Index see Crash/Confidence Index Explained


Feb 28, 2011
Are you following the latest trends in Calgary's housing market? See at a glance where the market is heading at Calgary Market Trends which has just been updated.

Feb 24, 2011
Once the poster child for an overheated market, Alberta is now the most affordable province in the country according to a new report from RBC Economics Research. Read more in the Financial Post: Alberta now home to cheap housing

Feb 22, 2011
Over the past three years, SFH average inventory at the end of Feb was 4148. My esimate for this year is 3700.

Feb 22, 2011
Calgary has been named the world's fifth most livable city. Criteria in the selection included stability, health care, culture and environment, education and infrastructure. Read more
 Vancouver, Toronto, and Calgary named among world's most livable cities

Feb 21, 2011
The SFH Sales/List ratio at 50% is now higher than last year.

Feb 21, 2011
Sales of SFH in Feb are up 14% compared to last year. The median price is down 2.9%.

Feb 21, 2011
Over the past week, SFH have sold for list price or higher in the communities of Bridlewood(2), McKenzie Towne(2), Lake Bonavista, Bowness, Garrison Green, Wildwood, Tuscany, Scenic Acres, Applewood, Beddingtron, Queensland, Taradale, Martindale, Cranston, Country Hills, Coventry Hills, Chaparral, Southwood, Royal Oak, South Calgary, Altadore, Edgemont, Springbank Hill.

Feb 18, 2011
Is it getting close to being a seller's market? Or is it still a buyer's market? Check this page
Absorption Rate by Price Range.

Feb 18, 2011
SFH sales for Feb 1-17 are up 18% compared to last year. New listings are up 15%.

Feb 15, 2011
Don't look now, but....
This market is hot!

Feb 14, 2011
Updates have resumed to the
Calgary Market Trends page. You can see at a glance which way the market is heading.

Feb 13, 2011
Development permits were issued in January for 33 new single family homes in the inner city.

Feb 11, 2011
Over the past 30 days, the absorption rate for SFH priced under $400,000 is 2.3, which means there is a 69-day supply of homes on the market. A 57-day supply is considered a seller's market.

Feb 10, 2011
Over the past 30 days, SFH sales are up 11% compared to last year.


Jan 2011 stats summary:

 

Single Family Homes

Median price
 at $390,000 is up $1,000 or .3% from Dec. It's down 2% from Jan 2010 when it was $398,000.

Average price at $454,163 is up $12,822 or 2.9%% compared to Dec. It's up $12,946 or 2.9% from Jan 2010 when it was $441,217.

Sales price per sq ft at $284 is up $3 compared to Dec. It’s down $15, or 5%, from Jan 2010 when it was $299.

Sales are up 3.8% compared to Jan 2010.

Sales of SFH are down 24% compared to the historic average for Jan.

Inventory on Jan 31 was 2958, which is 18% higher than last year. It's 4.9% lower than we normally see at this time of year(compared to 2007-2010, the only years for which I have accurate data).

New listings at 1965 were up 7.9% compared to last year.

New listings are down 4% compared to the historic average for Jan.

The absorption rate of 3.7 means that we have a 3.7 month, or 111 days, supply of homes on the market. Last year, there was a 3.3 month supply. For homes under $500,000, there is a 3.1 month supply.

Price reductions are up 22% compared to last year. We’ve averaged 39 price reductions per day over the past week. Last year was 32. Last month was 11. That includes SFH and condos.

21% of the homes listed in Jan already have a sale or conditional sale. Last month was 21%. Last year was 31%.

Days on Market(DOM) decreased to 56 in Jan from 59 in Dec. Last year, it was 43.

25 homes sold for $1 million or more. Last year was 12.

Condos

 

Median price of condos at $255,000 is down $3,500 from Dec.

Median price of condos is down $10,000 or 3.8% from Jan 2010.

Sales at 302 are down 20% compared to Jan 2010.


Stats to Obsess Over

Sales & new listings compared to the historic average for single family homes

 

Sales
(A)

New listings

(B)

CC Index

A-B

2011

Jan

-24%

-4%

-20

2010

Dec

-17%

-18%

+1

Nov

-23%

-14%

-9

Oct

-27%

-14%

-13

Sep

-24%

+2%

-26

Aug

-36%

-8%

-28

Jul

-37%

-12%

-25

Jun

-35%

+13%

-48

May

-25%

+12%

-37

Apr

-19%

+25%

-44

Mar

-14%

+20%

-34

Feb

-24%

+3%

-27

Jan

-29%

-15%

-14

CC Index: The lower the number, the more likely we’re heading for lower prices.
For more information about the Crash/Confidence Index see Crash/Confidence Index Explained


Jan 30, 2011
I've revisd the estimated sales for Jan upwards, to 785. To see what else happened in January, check My Blog.

Jan 21, 2011
We're on schedule to end January with about 750 SFH sales which is about the same as last year, but down approx 25% compared to the historical average. The median price will be down 1-2% compared to Jan 2009.

Jan 20, 2011
Development permits were issued this week for 12 new homes in the inner city.

Jan 19, 2011
Will the change in maximum amortizations from 35 to 30 years affect prices? Take my online poll

Jan 18, 2011
CREB predicts SFH average price will increase 4.1% in 2011, and sales will increase by 19.9%. Read more in the Herald Slow recovery forecast for Calgary real estate. CREB has made fairly accurate price predictions over the past two years.
2010 2009 

Jan 18, 2011
Jan SFH sales are up 2% compared to last year, while new listings are up 8%. The average price is up $2000, and the median price is down by $6,000.

Jan 17, 2011
The government has reduced the maximum amortization from 35 to 30 years on CMHC-insured mortgages. Read more in the Herald Tougher mortgage lending rules.

Jan 13, 2011
So far this year, development permits were issued for 11 new homes in the inner city.

Jan 11, 2011
After 10 days of voting, 77% of respondents to my Online Poll believe there will be very little change to house prices in 2011. 15% believe there will be a large drop.

Jan 10, 2011

Could the hate-filled rantings of the bubble bloggers lead to violence? Read my new blog post "Squidly Loughner."

Jan 10, 2011
For the first nine days of the year, sales are down 25% compared to the long-term average. New listings are also down 25% for the same perod. That results in a CC Index of 0.

Jan 6, 2011
The Crash/Confidence Index predicts a median price in Jan of $382,500.

Jan 6, 2011
If the pending sales are any indication, the median price of SFH should drop over the next week. The median list price of pending sales is at $394,900 today. @96%, the final sale price would be $379,104.

Jan 1, 2011

Happy new year everyone!

On the first day of Jan last year, I posted an online poll asking readers to predict the price change in 2010. 36% predicted a slight increase, and 21% predicted a slight drop. Both were correct, depending on whether you look at the 30-day price or the year-to-date price. A more precisely worded poll has just been posted for 2011: Poll: price change

Jan 1, 2011
Going into the new year, the number of pending sales is approximately the same as last year, however the average list price is up($486,000 compared to $469,000).

 


Stats to Obsess Over

2010 compared to the historic average(9 yrs) for single family homes

 

Sales
(A)

New listings

(B)

CC Index

A-B

Dec

-17%

-18%

+1

Nov

-23%

-14%

-9

Oct

-27%

-14%

-13

Sep

-24%

+2%

-26

Aug

-36%

-8%

-28

Jul

-37%

-12%

-25

Jun

-35%

+13%

-48

May

-25%

+12%

-37

Apr

-19%

+25%

-44

Mar

-14%

+20%

-34

Feb

-24%

+3%

-27

Jan

-29%

-15%

-14

CC Index: The lower the number, the more likely we’re heading for lower prices.
For more information about the Crash/Confidence Index see Crash/Confidence Index Explained


Dec 2010 stats summary:


The median price of single family homes(SFH) at $389,000 is down $10,900 or 2.7% from Nov. It's down 3% from Dec 2009 when it was $401,000.

The year-to-date median price at $406,000 is up $14,000, or 3.6% over 2009.

The SFH average price at $441,341 is down $14,119 or 3.1%% compared to Nov. It's down $10,008 or 2.2% from Dec 2009 when it was $451,349.

The year-to-date average price at $461,144 is up $18,817 or 4.3% over 2009.

SFH sales price per sq ft at $281 is down $12 compared to Nov. It’s down $21, or 6.9%, from Dec 2009 when it was $302.

Sales of single family homes were down 8% compared to Dec 2009

Sales of SFH are down 17% compared to the historic average for Dec.

SFH Inventory on Dec 31 was 2712, which is 32% higher than last year. It's 1% lower than we normally see at this time of year(compared to 2006-2009)

New listings at 744 were down 8% compared to last year.

The absorption rate of 3.7 means that we have a 3.7 month, or 111 days, supply of homes on the market. Last year, there was a 2.6 month supply. For homes under $500,000, there is a 3.0 month supply.

Price reductions are up 83% compared to last year. We’ve averaged 11 price reductions per day over the past week. Last year was 6. Last month was 41.

21% of the homes listed in Dec already have a sale or conditional sale. Last month was 16%. Last year was 26%.

Days on Market(DOM) increased to 59 in Dec from 52 in Nov. Last year, it was 47.

20 homes sold for $1 million or more. Last year was also 20.

The median price of condos at $258,500 is up $5,200 from Nov.

The median price of condos is down $6,500, or 2.5% from Dec 2009.

Condo sales at 320 are down 6% compared to Dec 2009.


Dec 31, 2010
Who made the most accurate price predictions for 2010? See the surprising results on my blog.

Dec 29, 2010
SFH pending sales are at 166 today. Last year on this date there were 162. The average list price this year is $502,490. Last year it was $470,830.

Dec 28, 2010
For the period Dec 1-27, SFH sales are down 6% compared to last year. New listings are down 8%.

Dec 28, 2010
SFH inventory will fall below 3000 listings by Jan 1.

Dec 27, 2010
For the period Dec 1-26, the SFH Sales-to-New Listings ratio is at 99%. Last year on Dec 31 the SNL ratio was 99%.

Dec 27
The SFH 30-day median price at $388,000 is down $13,000 or 3.2% compared to Dec 2009. The Year-to-date median price at $390,000 is down $2,000 or .5% compared to Dec 2009.


Dec 21, 2010
For the period Dec 1-20, SFH sales are down 7% and new listings are down 12% compared to last year.

Dec 16, 2010
SFH inventory has dropped below 3500 listings. 25% of the respondents to my online poll predicted it would not drop this low. 44% believe it will lead to higher prices.

Dec 14, 2010
For the period Dec 1-13, SFH sales are down 1% compared to last year, and new listings are down 11%.

Dec 14, 2010
The 30-day median price is 2.2% lower than on Dec 31, 2009.

Dec 12, 2010
For the period Dec 1-11, SFH sales are down 5% compared to last year, and new listings are down 12%. 

Dec 12, 2010
The CC Index prediction for December is a median price of $382,600. Read more Crash/Confidence Index Explained

Dec 12, 2010
For the first time this year, the CC Index is in positive territory.


Dec 7, 2010
In my online poll of Oct 23, 2010, 25% of respondents said inventory WOULDN'T drop below 3500 this year. It now appears there will be fewer than 3000 homes for sale by the end of this month. 44% of respondents said prices WILL INCREASE in the spring if listings drop below 3500.

Dec 2, 2010
Where will prices be on Dec 31? A new question has been posted Take my online poll


Stats to Obsess Over

2010 compared to the historic average(9 yrs) for single family homes

 

Sales
(A)

New listings

(B)

CC Index

A-B

Nov

-23%

-14%

-9

Oct

-27%

-14%

-13

Sep

-24%

+2%

-26

Aug

-36%

-8%

-28

Jul

-37%

-12%

-25

Jun

-35%

+13%

-48

May

-25%

+12%

-37

Apr

-19%

+25%

-44

Mar

-14%

+20%

-34

Feb

-24%

+3%

-27

Jan

-29%

-15%

-14

CC Index: The lower the number, the more likely we’re heading for lower prices.
For more information about the Crash/Confidence Index see Crash/Confidence Index Explained


Nov 2010 stats summary:

The median price of single family homes(SFH) at $399,900 is up $12,000 or 3.1% from Oct. It's down 2% from Nov 2009 when it was $408,000.

The SFH average price at $455,460 is up $10,716 or 2.4%% compared to Oct. It's down $8,984 or 1.9% from Nov 2009 when it was $464,444.

SFH sales price per sq ft at $293 is up $5 compared to Oct. It’s down $11, or 3.6%, from Nov 2009 when it was $304.

Sales of single family homes were down 19% compared to Nov 2009

Sales of SFH are down 23% compared to the historic average for Nov.

SFH Inventory on Nov 30 was 3869, which is 46% higher than last year. It's 2% lower than we normally see at this time of year(compared to 2006-2009)

New listings at 1318 were down 3% compared to last year.

The absorption rate of 4.3 means that we have a 4.3 month, or 129 days, supply of homes on the market. Last year, there was a 2.4 month supply. For homes under $500,000, there is a 3.8 month supply.

Price reductions are up 21% compared to last year. We’ve averaged 41 price reductions per day over the past week. Last year was 34. Last month was 62.

16% of the homes listed in Nov already have a sale or conditional sale. Last month was 14%. Last year was 29%.

Days on Market(DOM) increased to 52 in Nov from 50 in Oct. Last year, it was 42.

26 homes sold for $1 million or more. Last year was 36.

The median price of condos at $254,150 is down $850 from Oct.

The median price of condos is down $10,750 from Nov 2009.

Condo sales at 310 are down 38% compared to Nov 2009.



Nov 29, 2010
RBC report concludes that home ownership in Alberta is among the most affordable in Canada. Read more Housing trends and affordability.

Nov 29, 2010
The median price in Nov will be up substantially from Oct. Only 37% of of respondents to my Poll predicted the large increase.


Nov 24, 2010
The Teranet-National Bank House Price Index for Sep shows prices in Calgary are up year-over-year by 1.7%. CREB stats show the median price is down 2.5% and the average price up by .26%.


Nov 21, 2010
The 30-day median price has risen $12,100 this month. The average price is up $18,200.

Nov 21, 2010
SFH inventory is heading for dangerously low levels. It appears that it will drop below 3500 in Dec.


Nov 18, 2010
My Bowness listing sold after being on the market for 16 days. If you want your home to sell, price it realistically because there are buyers out there, and if you are a buyer, don't be lulled into waiting if you see your dream home. Upon going pending, the Bowness listing had a number of calls from realtors whose clients wanted to make an offer if the deal fell through. They didn't act fast enough, thinking they had plenty of time. The average days on market is 52, but that's deceiving. A properly priced listing goes fast.


Nov 13
The 30-day SFH median price has increased by $15,000(3.9%) over the past month.

Nov 12
Development permits were approved this week for 12 brand new homes in the inner city.

Nov 10, 2010
108 new listings have hit the market in the past two days, of which 34% were re-lists.

Nov 9, 2010

Montreal and Calgary were the largest contributors to the increase in the New Housing Price Index between August andSeptember. Read more New home prices increase

Nov 9, 2010
So far this month, homes have sold for list price or higher in Altadore, Aspen Woods, Mount Pleasant, Signal Hill, Edgemont, Cougar Ridge, Riverbend, Silverado, Brentwood, South Calgary, Skyview Ranch(2), Southview, Albert Park, Falconridge, Kincora and West Springs.

Nov 8, 2010
There's been a remarkable improvement is sales over the past week. The CC Index is only 2 notches away from positive territory.

Nov 7
The 30-day SFH median price in Calgary has risen $18,500 since Oct 7. That's 4.9%.

Nov 6, 2010
A new question has been posted Poll: Nov price - What will it be?

Nov 6, 2010
Bernadette tried selling her home by herself using a flat-fee MLS listing. CBC asked her how it went. Read more on My Blog.

Nov 6, 2010
Prices are up across the board in Nov. The 30-day median is at $399,000(Oct was $387,900), average is at $452,475($444,744), and the price per sq ft is at $290($288).

Nov 6, 2010
The CC Index has taken a precipitous drop over the past week and is at -2. Must be the nice weather.

Nov 5
40% of the homes listed yesterday were re-lists.

Nov 5
The SFH absorption rate has dropped below 5 for the first time since May. There's a 4.9-month supply of homes on the market today. For homes priced below $500,000, there is a 4.2-month supply.

Nov 4, 2010
The SFH 30-day median price has risen $10,600 in Nov to $398,500.

Nov 3, 2010
384 condos sold in the past four days, none of which will show up in the MLS sales statistics. Buyers line up for Calgary condo project.

Nov 2, 2010
If the year were to end on Oct 31, CREB would be declared the winner in the predictions game. CREB's forecast was for a 6% increase(year-to-date) over 2009. To Oct 31, the year-to-date SFH price has increased 5.3%. The YTD average price is $462,997 compared to last year's $439,807.

Nov 2, 2010
That notorious real estate pumper, the Calgary Herald, is back at it
Calgary Oct MLS sales tumble.

Nov 1, 2010
The CC Index prediction for November is a median price of $387,800. Read more Crash/Confidence Index Explained


Oct 2010 stats summary:

SFH Median price down .5% from Sep

Average price down 3.4%

Price per sq ft up 1.1%

The median price of single family homes(SFH) at $387,900 is down $2,100 or .5% from Sep. It's down 5.4% from Oct 2009 when it was $410,000.

The SFH average price at $444,744 is down $15,534 or 3.4%% compared to Sep. It's down $17,721 or 3.8% from Oct 2009 when it was $462,465.

SFH sales price per sq ft at $288 is up $3 compared to Sep. It’s down $11, or 3.7%, from Oct 2009 when it was $299.

Sales of single family homes were down 31% compared to Oct 2009

Sales of SFH are down 27% compared to the historic average for Oct.

SFH Inventory on Oct 31 was 4528, which is 51% higher than last year. It's 3% higher than we normally see at this time of year(compared to 2006-2009)

New listings at 1766 were down 3% compared to last year.

The absorption rate of 5.1 means that we have a 5.1 month, or 153 days, supply of homes on the market. Last year, there was a 2.3 month supply. For homes under $500,000, there is a 4.3 month supply.

Price reductions are up 41% compared to last year. We’ve averaged 62 price reductions per day over the past week. Last year was 44. Last month was 78.

14% of the homes listed in Oct already have a sale or conditional sale. Last month was 12%. Last year was 27%.

Days on Market(DOM) decreased to 50 in Oct from 52 in Sep. Last year, it was 41.

 

25 homes sold for $1 million or more. Last year was 28.

The median price of condos at $255,000 is down $10,000 from Sep.

The median price of condos is down $8,500 from Oct 2009.

Condo sales at 310 are down 48% compared to Oct 2009.



 

Stats to Obsess Over

2010 compared to the historic average(9 yrs) for single family homes

 

Sales
(A)

New listings

(B)

CC Index

A-B

Oct

-27%

-14%

-13

Sep

-24%

+2%

-26

Aug

-36%

-8%

-28

Jul

-37%

-12%

-25

Jun

-35%

+13%

-48

May

-25%

+12%

-37

Apr

-19%

+25%

-44

Mar

-14%

+20%

-34

Feb

-24%

+3%

-27

Jan

-29%

-15%

-14

CC Index: The lower the number, the more likely we’re heading for lower prices
For more information about the Crash/Confidence Index see Crash/Confidence Index Explained


Oct 31
Over the past week, single family homes which sold for list price or higher were located in Cranston, Bankview, McKenzie Towne, New Brighton, Bridlewood, Hamptons, Altadore, Lake Bonavista, Canyon Meadows Estates, and The Slopes.

Oct 31
Over the past three days, 16% of the homes sold were on the market for 7 days or less. 116 sales, 19 were sold in the first week.

Oct 30
They're lining up in Brentwood to buy condos today. Cody Torgerson says
"There's a line of at least 50 people waiting for the show suite to open. I assume that suites are now for sale ..." Read more University City.

Oct 29
Regarding the CREA/Competition Bureau agreement, I'd like to direct your attention to
New MLS rules...not so new after all. This realtor makes a good point as to why it's important to maintain the integrity of the data. Under the agreement, realtors will continue to ensure all information is accurate.

I agree with  Norm Fisher who says: "
I believe in free markets and competition. Availability of the broadest possible range of services is good for consumers and for real estate practitioners alike." It will be fun to watch the myriad of services that pop up.

Best of all, people can stop whining about the "real estate cartel." Finally.

 


Oct 28
"Today the sale went through. Charlene, after looking at so many homes, knew, within 30 seconds of walking in the door that this was THEE one." See the new posting on My Blog "It pays to know First-Aid" 

Oct 28
Sorry to sound like a broken record, but my prediction last week that the SFH median price would rise has come true and is now up to $389,500. It's now going to drop a few notches before the end of the month and should settle in pretty close to where my Crash/Confidence Index 
predicted. I might have underestimated the sales, though. It looks like we may do better than 860.


Oct 27
The Teranet House Price Index shows that prices in Calgary went up 5% in August, year-over-year. This is in complete disparity with CREB's statistics which show the median price down 1.3%, and the average down 1.9%. Mike Fotiou has a good recap on his blog Calgary Real Estate Review.

Oct 27
How about a half-duplex on an oversized lot on a quiet street in Bowness for $209,900? With 20% down, your payments could be less than $1000 per month. Call me if you want to view this charming home. 403-650-2514

 

Oct 27
Over the past week, homes sold for list price or higher in the communities of Bankview(2), Somerset, Bridlewood, The Slopes, Sherwood, West Hillhurst, Skyview Ranch, McKenzie Lake, Temple, and Falconridge.

Oct 27
Bank of Canada governor Mark Carney agreed that an abrupt correction in Canada's housing market is possible. Going on past predictions, is that not a sure sign that we are headed for higher prices? Read more Housing correction possible


Oct 25
One of our regular bloggers, Vinny, has started up a new forum where you can discuss real estate and other investing concerns. http://www.tactfulinvesting.com/.

Oct 25
Check out this page Crash/Confidence Index Explained for an update on the CC Index. I've developed a formula which would have predicted the prices of the last four months very accurately.

Oct 25
With 315 pending SFH sales, that's the highest number of pendings we've had since late May. Last year, on Oct 26, there were 345 pending sales.

Oct 25
How long does it take you to drive to work? The ten worst cities for commute times includes Toronto and Montreal. Read more The world's worst cities for commuting.

Oct 24, 2010
Sales of million-dollar homes will be down this month compared to last year. 14 so far in Oct compared to 28 in the entire month last year.

Oct 24, 2010
15% of the 54 sales on Oct 22 were in 7 days or less. Accurately-priced homes are still moving quickly.

Oct 24, 2010
The median price this month is down $3000(less than 1%) from Sep, but the sales price per sq ft has risen.

Oct 23, 2010
Will SFH inventory drop below the critical level of 3500 by Dec? Will prices increase or decrease in 2011? Take my online poll

Oct 22, 2010

With 10 days to go in Oct, it looks like we'll have about 860 SFH sales this month. That would be down 30% compared to the long-term average.

 
Oct 22, 2010
Short term year-over-year price growth expectations for the Calgary housing market are in the five to seven per cent range, according to the Conference Board of Canada. Read more:
Calgary housing price increases forecast

 


Oct 21, 2010
With the median price of pending sales at $409,900, you can expect to see the median price increase in the coming week. The 30-day SFH median is at $384,500 today(just as it was predicted on Oct 12).

Oct 19, 2010
Garth Turner says consumers are "tapped out with debt," and Calgary hasn't grown in population to support the real estate market and the oilpatch hasn't seen a big revival. Read more in the Herald
Home sales at decade-low levels. 
Garth Turner has made some good predictions...and some really bad ones. Read more Garth Turner predictions

Oct 18, 2010
Some predictions for 2010 have already been proven wrong, and some have come true.
Predictions

Oct 18, 2010
The weekly report from the Real Estate Council of Alberta(RECA) shows 55 new realtors being licenced over the past 7 days.

Oct 16, 2010
Inventory is down 19% since May and continues to decline. There are 4863 active listings today. 

Oct 14, 2010
Nine homes have sold in Oct for more than $1 million. Last year, there were 28 sales during the entire month.

Oct 14, 2010
The Oct SFH average price is down compared to Sep. The median price is down. The sales price per sq ft is up. This is an indication that the homes sold this month are significantly smaller than last month.

Oct 13, 2010
How much do you think house prices should change on a yearly basis? Take my online poll.

Oct 13, 2010
The price of a new home in Calgary was down 0.1% between July and August according to the New Housing Price Index (NHPI) released by Statistics Canada today.  Year-over-year, new house prices in Calgary were up 2.4% from the previous August. Read more Statscan New house Price Index


Oct 12, 2010
For the period Oct 1-11, new listings are down 20% compared to the historical average.

Oct 12, 2010
Based on today's pending sales, look for the 30-day median price to stay in the neighbourhood of $380,000 - $385,000 over the coming week. The median price is at $385,000 today. The median price of pending sales is $399,900.

Oct 12, 2010
When you owe someone a trillion dollars, you don't call them "polluter." You call them "boss."
NASA lectures Canada but ignores China.

Oct 9, 2010
My stalker is back. You can give your opinion on 
My Online Poll

Oct 9, 2010
There were 82 new SFH listings yesterday, of which 18(22%) were re-lists.

Oct 9, 2010
Housing starts in September were down slightly from year-ago levels, but year-to-date are up 45%. Read more 
Home construction dips in Calgary.

 


Sep 2010 stats summary:

The median price of single family homes(SFH) at $390,000 is down $5,000, or 1.3% from Aug. It's down 2.5% from Sep 2009 when it was $399,900.

The SFH average price at $460,278 is up $14,661 or 3.3%% compared to Aug. It's up $1,193 or .3% from Sep 2009 when it was $459,085.

SFH sales price per sq ft at $285 is down $5 compared to Aug. It’s down $18, or 5.9%, from Sep 2009 when it was $303.

Sales of single family homes were down 24% compared to Sep 2009

Sales of SFH are down 24% compared to the historic average for Sep.

SFH Inventory on Sep 30 was 4880, which is 55% higher than last year.

New listings at 2252 were up 21% compared to last year.

The absorption rate of 5.1 means that we have a 5.1 month, or 153 days, supply of homes on the market. Last year, there was a 2.5 month supply. For homes under $500,000, there is a 4.5 month supply.

Price reductions are up 53% compared to last year. We’ve averaged 78 price reductions per day over the past week. Last year was 51. Last month was 81.

12% of the homes listed in Sep already have a sale or conditional sale. Last month was 14%. Last year was 28%.

Days on Market(DOM) increased to 52 in Sep from 50 in Aug. Last year, it was 40.

34 homes sold for $1 million or more. Last year was 35.

6% of SFH sold for list price or higher. Last month was 5%.

The median price of condos at 265,000 is up $5,000 from Aug.

The median price of condos is the same as Sep 2009.

Condo sales at 366 are down 42% compared to Sep 2009.
 



Aug 2010 stats summary:

The median price of single family homes(SFH) at $395,000 is down $5,000, or 1.3% from Jul. It's down 1.3% from Aug 2009 when it was $400,000.

The SFH average price at $445,617 is down $19,038 or 4.1%% compared to Jul. It's down $8,513 or 1.9% from Aug 2009 when it was $454,130.

SFH sales price per sq ft at $290 is down $4 compared to Jul. It’s the same as Aug 2009

Sales of single family homes were down 32% compared to Aug 2009.

Sales of SFH are down 36% compared to the historic average for Aug.

SFH Inventory on Jul 31 was 5046, which is 53% higher than last year.

New listings at 1960 were up 3% compared to last year.

The absorption rate of 5.8 means that we have a 5.8 month, or 174 days, supply of homes on the market. Last year, there was a 2.6 month supply. For homes under $500,000, there is a 5.3 month supply.

Days on Market(DOM) increased to 50 in Aug from 45 in Jul. Last year, it was 42.

25 homes sold for $1 million or more. Last year, there were 28.

Price reductions are up 103% compared to last year. We've averaged 81 price reductions per day over the past week. Last year was 40. Last month was 78.

14% of the homes listed in Aug already have a sale or a conditional sale. Last month was 12%. Last year, it was 27%.

5% of SFH sold for list price or higher. Last month was 4%.

The median price of condos at 260,000 is down $8,000 from Jul.

The median price of condos is the same as Aug 2009.

Condo sales at 364 are down 42% compared to Aug 2009.


Aug 15
New listings are down 8% compared to the historical average for August, but sales are down 33%. If you're thinking of selling in this market, nothing will help as much as an honest evaluation of your property. Contact me for a factual and realistic market analysis.



July 2010 stats summary:

The median price of single family homes(SFH) at $400,000 is down $18,900, or 4.5% from Jun.  It's up 2.6% from Jul 2009 when it was $390,000.

The SFH average price at $464,655 is down $17,309 or 3.6%% compared to Jun. It's up $27,873 or 6.4% from Jul 2009 when it was $436,782.

SFH sales price per sq ft at $294 is down $14 compared to Jun. It’s up $5, or 1.7%, from Jul 2009 when it was $289.

Sales of single family homes were down 42% compared to Jul 2009. 

Sales of SFH are down 37% compared to the historic average for Jul.

SFH Inventory on Jul 31 was 5525, which is 67% higher than last year. 

New listings at 1942 were down 7% compared to last year.

The absorption rate of 6.0 means that we have a 6 month, or 180 days, supply of homes on the market. Last year, there was a 2.1 month supply. For homes under $500,000, there is a 5.5 month supply.

Days on Market(DOM) increased to 45 in Jul from 39 in Jun. Last year, it was 43.

30 homes sold for $1 million or more. Last year, there were 34.

Price reductions are up 111% compared to last year. We've averaged 78 price reductions per day over the past week. Last year was 39. Last month was 102.

12% of the homes listed in Jul already have a sale or a conditional sale. Last month was 13%. Last year, it was 30%.

4% of SFH sold for list price or higher. Last month was 7%.

The median price of condos at 268,000 is down $1,900 from Jun.

The median price of condos is up $5,000 or 1.9% from Jul 2009.

Condo sales at 396 are down 44% compared to Jul 2009.


Jul 29
Calgary is the only major Canadian market with house prices remaining below their pre-recession peak. Read more 
Calgary house prices

Jul 20
The Bank of Canada raised its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points today, the second straight time it has done so after keeping rates at unprecedented lows for more than a year. In raising the rate, the bank moved to lightly hit the brakes on a Canadian economy that has shown signs of significant strength in recent months. Read more:
Bank of Canada hikes rates again

Jul 20
The median price is down $8,900 already in July, but be prepared for it to fall further before the month is out. The median price of pending sales at $399,900 is a harbinger of a further decrease.The sales price per sq ft and the average price are all on the way down.

Jul 14
New listings are down 5% in July compared to last year. Read more on
My Blog

Jul 13
Despite what anyone thinks their house is worth, market sentiment dictates a home's true value. Read more from MSN
How to time the housing market.

Jul 12
Where are prices heading? A new question has been posted
Take My Online Poll

Jul 12
Over the past week, homes which sold for list price or higher were located in Strathcona Park(2), Glendale, Altadore, Douglasdale, Capitol Hill, Bridlewood, Monterey Park.

 


Jul 1
Happy Canada Day everyone! I hope you enjoy this beautiful day, and count your blessings for having the good fortune of living in this great country of ours.

June 2010 stats summary:

The median price of single family homes(SFH) at $418,900 is down $1,100, or .3% from May.  It's up 5% from Jun 2009 when it was $399,000.

The SFH average price at $481,964 is down $1,277 or .3% compared to May. It's up $34,822 or 7.8% from Jun 2009 when it was $447,142.

SFH sales price per sq ft at $308 is up $1 compared to May. It’s up $20 or 6.9%, from Jun 2009 when it was $288.

Sales of single family homes were down 42% compared to Jun 2009. 

Sales of SFH are down 35% compared to the historic average for Jun.

SFH Inventory on Jun 30 was 5991, which is 76% higher than last year. 

New listings at 2733 were up 22% compared to last year.

The absorption rate of 5.7 means that we have a 5.7 month, or 171 days, supply of homes on the market. Last year, there was a 1.8 month supply. For homes under $500,000, there is a 5.4 month supply.

Days on Market(DOM) increased to 39 in Jun from 38 in May. Last year, it was 44.

38 homes sold for $1 million or more. Last year, there were also 38.

Price reductions are up 100% compared to last year. We've averaged 102 price reductions per day over the past week. Last year was 51. Last month was 129.

13% of the homes listed in Jun already have a sale or a conditional sale. Last month was 16%. Last year, it was 34%.

7% of SFH sold for list price or higher. Last month was 6%.

The median price of condos at 269,900 is down $10,000 from May.

The median price of condos is up $4,400 or 1.7% from Jun 2009.

Condo sales at 445 are down 40% compared to Jun 2009.

 


Jun 28
Over the past week, homes which sold for list price or higher were located in Lakeview, Parkland, Panorama Hills, Sherwood, Killarney, Signal Hill, Lake Bonavista Estatates, South Calgary, Wildwood, Silver Springs, Willow Park, Douglasdale, Highland Park, Glenbrook, Hidden Valley, and Winston Heights.


Jun 25
Condo inventory increased by only 12 listings in the past week. Single family home inventory increased by 151 listings.

Jun 23
24% of the "new" listings yesterday were actually re-lists; ie listings which had recently expired or were terminated and are now back on the market. Last year, on the same date, 10% were re-lists.

Jun 23

Calgary Market Trends has just been updated and shows that SFH new listings have declined for five consecutive weeks. Sales over the past month are down 41% compared to last year.  

Jun 18
As interest rates rise, more people are selling their properties -- and diving into rentals, driving up rents as well. Read more in the Globe and Mail Homeowners sell, start renting instead


Jun 16
Further interest-rate hikes in Canada are not “pre-ordained,” central bank governor Mark Carney said Wednesday.Read more 
Interest rate hikes in Canada not Pre-ordained

Jun 16
How high will inventory go this year? A new question has been posted
Take My Online Poll

Jun 14
We're averaging 126 price reductions per day. That's about the same as last month, and includes both condos and SFH. Last year in June was 51.

Jun 14
The SFH median price is up $21,000(5.3%) compared to June 2009. Inventory is up 78%.

Jun 11
26% of yesterday's "new" listings were actually re-lists.


May 2010 stats summary:

The median price of single family homes(SFH) at $420,0000 is up $3,000, or .7% from Apr.  It's up 7.7% from May 2009 when it was $390,000.

The SFH average price at $483,240 is up $22,862 or 5% compared to Apr. It's up $46,813 or 10.7% from May 2009 when it was $436,427.

SFH sales price per sq ft at $307 is up $6 compared to Apr. It’s up $28, or 10%, from May 2009 when it was $279

Sales of single family homes were down 20% compared to May 2009. 

Sales of SFH are down 25% compared to the historic average for May.

SFH Inventory on May 31 was 5649, which is 46% higher than last year. 

New listings at 2966 were up 33% compared to last year.

The absorption rate of 4.5 means that we have a 4.5 month, or 135 days, supply of homes on the market. Last year, there was a 2.4 month supply. For homes under $500,000, there is a 4.1 month supply.

Days on Market(DOM) increased to 38 in May from 36 in Apr. Last year, it was 45.

55 homes sold for $1 million or more. Last year, there were 36.

Price reductions are up 126% compared to last year. We've averaged 129 price reductions per day over the past week. Last year was 57. Last month was 104.

16% of the homes listed in May already have a sale or a conditional sale. Last month was 19%. Last year, it was 29%.

6% of SFH sold for list price or higher. Last month was 9%.

The median price of condos at 279,900 is up $12,450 from Apr.

The median price of condos is up $24,900 or 9.8% from May 2009.

Condo sales at 518 are down 19% compared to May 2009.

 


May 30
Condo median prices reached a new 22-month high yesterday at $278,750. The highest ever was in Aug 2007 at $301,000.

May 30
61% of the homes sold in the past 2 days had at least one price reduction.

May 30
There were 54 new SFH listings yesterday of which 14 were re-lists.

May 27
6 homes sold for more than $1 million yesterday. 47 homes have sold for more than $1 million this month. The record is 61 in March 2007.


May 27
The SFH average price has risen $26,000(6%) this month, to $486,394. The median price has risen only $3,000, to $420,000. The sales price per sq ft is up from $301 in April to $308 this month.

May 20
Over the past 3 days, single family homes have sold at list price or higher in Aspen Woods, Altadore, Springbank Hill, Crescent Heights, Royal Oak, Copperfield, Cranston, South Calgary, Parkhill and Richmond Hill. This month, 5% of homes are selling for list price or higher.

May 20
We're averaging 128 price reductions per day over the past week. That includes both condos and single family homes.

May 10
How much will this new listing sell for? How long will it take? Closest guess will win a gift certificate to Rouge Restaurant. Read more on
My Blog

May 6
Mortgage fraud is prominent in the news. Are straw buyers innocent victims or greedy fraudsters? A new question has been posted
Take My Online Poll


Apr 2010 stats summary:

The median price of single family homes(SFH) at $417,0000 is down $6,000, or 1.4% from Mar.  It's up 9.7% from Apr 2009 when it was $380,000.

The SFH average price at $460,378 is down $10,891 or 2.3% compared to Mar. It's up $34,067 or 8% from Apr 2009 when it was $426,311.

SFH sales price per sq ft at $301 was down $7 compared to Mar. It’s up $29, or 11%, from Apr  2009 when it was $272

Sales of single family homes were up 5% compared to Apr 2009. 

Sales of SFH are down 19% compared to the historic average for Apr.

SFH Inventory on Apr 30 was 4986, which is 21% higher than last year. 

New listings at 3082 were up 53% compared to last year.

The absorption rate of 3.7 means that we have a 3.7 month, or 111 days, supply of homes on the market. Last year, there was a 3.2 month supply. For homes under $500,000, there is a 3.2 month supply.

Days on Market(DOM) decreased to 36 in Apr from 33 in Mar. Last year, it was 52.

29 homes sold for $1 million or more. Last year, there were 23.

Price reductions are up 60% compared to last year. We've averaged 104 price reductions per day over the past week. Last year was 65.

19% of the homes listed in Apr already have a sale or a conditional sale. Last month was 26%. Last year, it was 19%.

9% of SFH sold for list price or higher. Last month was 12%.

The median price of condos at 267,500 is down $7,500 from Mar.

The median price of condos is up $16,500 or 6.6% from Apr 2009.

Condo sales at 639 are up 10% compared to Apr 2009.


Apr 29
Development permits were issued this month for 40 new single family homes in the inner city. In April 2009, 28 were issued.

Apr 29
Price reductions are way up. Over the past 7 days, we've averaged 104 price reductions per day. last month was 81. April 2009 was 65. April 2008 was 166.

Apr 23
Development permits were issued this week for 9 new single family homes in the inner city.

Apr 23
The median price has dropped $4500 this month, but is still up $17,500 since Dec 31.

Apr 19
The new mortgage rules kick in today. The key changes are:

- borrowers must qualify for the 5 year rate even if they opt for a shorter term.

- on refinancing, the maximum amount of equity withdrawal is reduced from 95% to 90%.

- non owner occupied residences bought for investment now require a 20% down payment.

Apr 19
Here's a table which gives the average sales price per sq ft over the last four months, and the increase since April 2009. You can see that bungalows cost a lot more than an equivalent sized 2-storey:

SFH Sales price per sq ft $

Month

2-Storey

Bungalow

All others

Apr 1-18, 2010

$268(8.5%)

$375(13.6%)

$304(7%)

Mar 2010

267

383

319

Feb 2010

270

370

305

Jan 2010

257

366

303

Apr 2009

247

330

284

You can see from the table above that bungalows have increased much more than other styles. Since April 2009, the overall average price has increased 7.6%

Apr 17
Development permits were issued this week for 9 new single family homes in the inner city

Apr 15
The 30-day sales price per sq ft(SP/SF) today at $309 is actually higher than it was in March at $308. When the SP/SF increases but the average and median price decline, it usually means that people are buying smaller homes.


Apr 13
It took a few days longer than expected, but the 30-day median price finally dropped yesterday to $423,500 after hanging on at $425,000 for nine days. (As predicted right here on April 3.) According to the pending sales, it should continue to drop for the upcoming week. You can see the daily progression of the 30-day price SFH Daily/Monthly Summaries.

Apr 13
Have you checked this lately? Homes wanted now!

Apr 9
Homes have sold at list price or higher this month in the following communities: Beddington, Canyon Meadows, Capitol Hill, Christie Park, Coach Hill, Copperfield, Dalhousie, Edgemont, Evanston, Lynnwood, Martindale, McKenzie Towne, Mount Royal, North Glenmore, North Haven, Penbrooke, Rosscarrock, Saddleridge, Scenic Acres, Silverado, Springbank Hill, Temple, Tuscany(2), Valley Ridge, Varsity Acres.


Apr 8
According to a report released Thursday from CIBC's chief economist Avery Shenfeld, interest rates are likely to remain at a very low 2.5 per cent through to 2011 — not the seven to eight per cent forecast by some. Read more in the Herald Interest rates to remain low through 2011: CIBC

Apr 8
Development permits were issued this week for 12 new single family homes in the inner city.

Apr 8
Prospects for Calgary's construction industry continued to improve in March, as the value of building permits rose.
Dan Sumner, an economist with ATB says "But if they (developers) are still building, then that's a sign they are still expecting demand to increase." Read more in the Herald
City building permits surge 74% in March.

Apr 5
Calgary Market Trends has been updated and shows that 8% of homes are selling for list price or higher. That's down from 14% last week. 6% of all sales in the past week were "under water."

Apr 3
Get ready for a drop in prices. The average price of pending sales today is $453,044. That should mean lower sales prices in the coming week. The average price in March was $471,268.


Apr 2
CREB president says "rising interest rates are motivating buyers to take the plunge." Read more in the Herald
Interest rates fuel Calgary housing market

Apr 1
 



Mar 2010 stats summary:

The median price of single family homes(SFH) at $423,000 is up $12,000, or 2.9% from Feb. It's up 12.8% from Mar 2009 when it was $375,000.

The SFH average price at $471,269 is up $13,015 or 2.8% compared to Feb. It's up $50,916, or 12.1% from Mar 2009 when it was $420,353.

SFH sales price per sq ft at $308 was up $4 compared to Feb. It’s up $35, or 13%, from Mar 2009 when it was $273

Sales of single family homes were up 29% compared to Mar 2009.

Sales of SFH are down 14% compared to the historic average for Mar.

SFH Inventory on Mar 31 was 4014, which is 8% lower than last year.

New listings at 2988 were up 48% compared to last year.

The absorption rate of 2.9 means that we have a 2.9 month, or 87 days, supply of homes on the market. Last year, there was a 4.0 month supply. For homes under $500,000, there is a 2.6 month supply.

Days on Market(DOM) decreased to 33 in Mar from 35 in Feb. Last year, it was 48.

33 homes sold for $1 million or more. Last year, there were 18.

Price reductions are up 23% compared to last year. We've averaged 81 price reductions per day over the past week. Last year was 66.

26% of the homes listed in Mar already have a sale or a conditional sale. Last year, it was 19%.

12% of SFH sold for list price or higher. Last month was 11%.

37% of SFH sold during their first 7 days on the market. Last month was 36%.

The median price of condos at 275,000 is up $10,000 from Feb.

The median price of condos is up $15,000 or 5.8% from Mar 2009.

Condo sales at 609 are up 37% compared to Mar 2009.

 


Mar 30
Is there a real estate bubble in Calgary?
Take My Online Poll

Mar 29
Calgary Market Trends has been updated, and shows that 14% of homes sold in the past week went for list price or higher.

Mar 25
So far this month, 67 single family homes have sold on their first day.

Mar 25
Development permits were approved this month for 47 new single family homes in the inner city. Last year was 39.

Mar 23
Are you thinking of selling your house in Douglasglen or Riverbend? Check my Homes wanted now!

Mar 22
Have you purchased a home since June 2006? Are you "under water?" See the data on this situation on
My Blog.

Mar 22
Calgary Market Trends has just been updated, and shows that 13% of homes sold in the past week went for list price or higher.

Mar 22
Can't find a house to buy? Don't panic. It looks like we may be heading for a buyer's market. Compared to historic averages, for the first 3 weeks of March, sales of SFH are down 18% and new listings are up 21%. If this trend continues, the absorption rate which is presently a balanced market, will soon slip into buyer's market conditions.

Mar 16
Three homes in West Springs have sold for list price or higher since March 1. A total of seven homes have been sold.

Mar 13
Indications are that we're going to have a good selection of inventory for buyers to choose from this year. For the first 12 days of March, compared to the historical average, new listings are up 31% and sales are down 13%.

Mar 13
11% of SFH have sold for list price or higher this month.

Mar 12
Development permits were approved this week for 13 new homes in the inner city.

Mar 3
The average CDOM(cumulative days on market which factors in re-lists) during the last week in Feb was 39. The median CDOM was 15. With a total of 295 sales, that translates into 147 homes selling in 15 days or less.

Mar 3
In the first two days of March, homes sold for list price or higher in Cambrian Heights, Chinook Park, Acadia, Pump Hill, McKenzie Towne, Mayland Heights, Panorama Hills, West Springs, Meadowlark, MacEwan Glen, Skyview ranch, Pineridge and Saddleridge.



Feb 2010 stats summary:

The median price of single family homes(SFH) at $411,000 is up $13,000, or 3.3% from Jan. It's up 9.6% from Feb 2009 when it was $375,000.

The SFH average price at $458,254 is up $17,036 or 3.9% compared to Jan. It's up $42,685, or 10.3% from Feb 2009 when it was $415,568.

SFH sales price per sq ft at $304 was up $5, or 2% compared to Jan. It’s up $32, or 12%, from Feb 2009 when it was $272

Sales of single family homes were up 25% compared to Feb 2009.

Sales of SFH are down 24% compared to the historic average for Feb.

SFH Inventory on Feb 28 was 3106, which is 29% lower than last year.

New listings at 2154 were up 5% compared to last year.

The absorption rate of 3.0 means that we have a 3 month, or 90 days, supply of homes on the market. Last year, there was a 5.3 month supply. For homes under $500,000, there is a 2.7 month supply.

Days on Market(DOM) decreased to 35 in Feb from 43 in Jan. Last year, it was 51.

20 homes sold for $1 million or more. Last year, there were 15.

Price reductions are down 42% compared to last year. We've averaged 45 price reductions per day over the past week. Last year was 78.

34% of the homes listed in Feb already have a sale or a conditional sale. Last year, it was 14%.

11% of SFH sold for list price or higher. Last month was 14%.

36% of SFH sold during their first 7 days on the market. Last month was 31%.

The median price of condos at 265,900 is up $900 from Jan.

The median price of condos is up $16,050 or 6.4% from Feb 2009.

Condo sales at 536 are up 56% compared to Feb 2009.

 


Feb 26
Over the past 4 days, homes have sold for list price or higher in Altadore, Aspen Woods, Chaparral, Deer Run, Douglasdale, Discovery Ridge, Edgemont(2), Lake Bonavista, Marlborough, McKenzie Towne, Meadowlark, Oakridge, Panorama, Rosscarrock, Springbank Hill, Westgate, West Springs.

Feb 26
37% of the new listings this month have sold during their first seven days on the market.

Feb 16

This morning, Federal Finance Minister Jim Flaherty announced prudent changes to mortgage insurance rules intended to come into force on April 19, 2010. The changes are as follows:

- All borrowers must meet the standards for a five-year fixed rate mortgage even if they choose a mortgage with a lower interest rate and shorter term
- The maximum amount one can withdraw in refinancing their mortgage will be reduced to 90% from the current 95% of the value of one's home;
- Non-owner occupied properties will require a minimum down payment of 20%.

Read more Tightened mortgage rules could slow home sales

Feb 10
As predicted on Feb 3, the median price has risen. Over the past seven days, the median price of sales was $420,000.  The 30-day median price has risen to $402,500.

Feb 10
Four homes have sold for higher than list price in Haysboro in the past two weeks.

Feb 6
A home in Elbow Park sold yesterday for $5.3 million. Only two homes have ever sold for more on MLS, with one selling last year in Elbow Park for 10.3 million.

Feb 4
The Calgary Market Trends page has been updated. It shows that 32% of homes sold during their first week on the market.

Feb 4
The average CDOM(cumulative days on market which factors in re-lists) during the last week in Jan was 43. The median CDOM was 15. With a total of 255 sales, that translates into 127 homes selling in 15 days or less.

Feb 3
If the pending sales are any indication, the median price of SFH should rise over the next week. The median price of pending sales is at $426,900 today(9:51 a.m.) The 30-day median price on Feb 2 was $398,000.

Feb 3
Homes sold for list price or higher on Feb 1-2 in Rocky Ridge, Lakeview, McKenzie Towne, Deer Ridge, Whitehorn, Castleridge and Penbrooke.  


Jan 2010 stats summary:

The median price of single family homes(SFH) at $398,000 is down $3,000, or .8% from Dec.  It's up 6.2% from Jan 2009 when it was $374,700.

The SFH average price at $441,217 is down $10,132 or 2.2% compared to Dec. It's up $28,168, or 6.8% from Jan 2009 when it was $413,049.

SFH sales price per sq ft at $299 was down $3, or 1% compared to Dec. It’s up $30, or 11%, from Jan 2009 when it was $269

Sales of single family homes were up 39% compared to Jan 2009. 

Sales of SFH are down 29% compared to the historic average for Jan.

SFH Inventory on Jan 31 was 2513, which is 38% lower than last year. 

New listings at 1822 were down 12% compared to last year.

The absorption rate of 3.3 means that we have a 3.3 month, or 99 days, supply of homes on the market. Last year, there was a 7.4 month supply. For homes under $500,000, there is a 2.6 month supply.

Days on Market(DOM) decreased to 43 in Jan from 47 in Dec. Last year, it was 62.

12 homes sold for $1 million or more. Last year, there were 6.

Price reductions are down 41% compared to last year. We've averaged 32 price reductions per day over the past week. Last year was 54.

31% of the homes listed in Jan already have a sale or a conditional sale. Last year, it was 11%.

14% of SFH sold for list price or higher. Last month was 10%.

31% of SFH sold during their first 7 days on the market. Last month was 21%.

The median price of condos at 265,000 is the same as Dec.

The median price of condos is up $22,000 or 9.1% from Jan 2009.

Condo sales at 376 are up 67% compared to Jan 2009.

 


Jan 30
Homes sold for list price or higher yesterday in Bowness, Coventry Hills, Acadia, MacEwan, Mount Pleasant, Beddington, Douglasdale, Crescent Heights, and Auburn Bay.

Jan 30
There is a 102-day supply of homes on the market. Last year, it was a 222-day supply.

Jan 29
26% of the homes listed in the past 30 days have already sold or conditionally sold. You can see all the other latest trends here Calgary Market Trends. Just updated today.

Jan 28
Sales of SFH are up 44% compared to Jan last year, but down 30% compared to the historic average.

Jan 23
Single family home inventory is at 61% of last year's level. Condos are 72%.

Jan 20
The Calgary Real Estate Board has made their prediction for 2010:"The board predicts the average price for a single-family home in Calgary in 2009 will jump six per cent to $470,000 from $442,327 last year and the average condo price will rise 4.3 per cent to $296,000 from $283,734 in 2009." Read more in the Herald Modest gains in 2010

Jan 20
14% of sales in January have been for list price or higher.

Jan 20
20% of the homes listed in the past 30 days have already sold or conditionally sold.


Dec 2009 stats summary:

The median price of single family homes(SFH) at $401,000 is down $7,000, or 1.7% from Nov.  It's up 5.5% from Dec 2008 when it was $380,000.

The SFH average price at $451,348 is down $13,096 or 2.8 compared to Nov. It's up $33,950, or 8.1% from Dec 2008 when it was $417,398.

SFH sales price per sq ft at $302 was down $2, or .7% compared to Nov. It’s up $30, or 11%, from Dec 2008 when it was $272.

Sales of single family homes were up 78% compared to Dec 2008. 

Sales of SFH are down 8% compared to the historic average for Dec.

Year-to-date sales at 14,442 were up 7.4% compared to last year.

SFH Inventory on Dec 31 was 2053, which is 47% lower than last year. 

New listings at 806 were down 4% compared to last year.

The absorption rate of 2.6 means that we have a 2.6 month, or 78 days, supply of homes on the market. Last year, there was an 8.6 month supply. For homes under $500,000, there is a 1.7 month supply.

Days on Market(DOM) increased to 47 in Dec from 42 in Nov. Last year, it was 61.

20 homes sold for $1 million or more. Last year, there were 4.

Price reductions are down 64% compared to last year. We've averaged 6 price reductions per day over the past week. Last year was 17.

26% of the homes listed in Dec already have a sale or a conditional sale. Last year, it was 9%.

10% of SFH sold for list price or higher. Last month was 12%.

21% of SFH sold during their first 7 days on the market. Last month was 24%.

The median price of condos at 265,000 is up $100 from Nov.

The median price of condos is up $11,000 or 4.4% from Dec 2008.

Condo sales at 341 are up 66% compared to Dec 2008.

Year-to-date sales of condos were up 11.8% compared to last year.


Dec 29
Sales of SFH for the first 28 days of Dec are up 78% compare to last year. Condo sales are up 66%.

Dec 29
The 30-day SFH median price is up 5.9% compared to last year.

Dec 17
Over the past six months, sales of SFH are up 29% compared to last year. Sales of homes over $1 million are up 38%.

Dec 13
For the first 12 days of Dec, SFH sales are up 63% compared to last year. Condo sales are up 96%.

Dec 13
SFH inventory is 67% of last year's level. Condo inventory is 76%.

Dec 8
Who made the best price prediction of 2009? Who was 2009's biggest loser? Go to
Biggest loser...

Dec 8
The average CDOM(cumulative days on market which factors in re-lists) during the last week in Nov was 46. The median CDOM was 29. Those are exactly the same results as Oct.



Nov 2009 stats summary:

The median price of single family homes(SFH) at $408,000 is down $2,000, or .5% from Oct. It's up 5.3% from Nov 2008 when it was $387,300.

The SFH average price at $464,444 is up $1,979 or .4% compared to Oct. It's up 6.7% from Nov 2008 when it was $435,471.

SFH sales price per sq ft at $304 was up $5, or 1.7% compared to Oct. It’s up $23, or 8.2%, from Nov 2008 when it was $281.

Sales of single family homes were up 63% compared to Nov 2008.

Sales of SFH are down 4% compared to the historic average for Nov.

SFH Inventory on Nov 30 was 2664, which is 48% lower than last year.

New listings at 1365 were down 13% compared to last year.

The absorption rate of 2.4 means that we have a 2.4 month, or 72 days, supply of homes on the market. Last year, there was a 7.6 month supply. For homes under $500,000, there is a 2.0 month supply.

Days on Market(DOM) increased to 42 in Nov from 41 in Oct. Last year, it was 55.

36 homes sold for $1 million or more. Last year, there were 20.

Price reductions are down 54% compared to last year. We've averaged 34 price reductions per day over the past week. Last year was 74.

29% of the homes listed in Nov already have a sale or a conditional sale. Last year, it was 10%.

12% of SFH sold for list price or higher. Last month was also 12%.

24% of SFH sold during their first 7 days on the market. Last month was 25%.

The median price of condos at 264,900 is up $1,400 or .5% from Oct.

The median price of condos is up $13,100 or 5.2% from Nov 2008.

Condo sales at 504 are up 77% compared to Nov 2008.

 


Nov 27
Single family home(SFH) sales for the first 26 days of Nov are up 64% compared to last year. Compared to the historic average going back to the year 2000, SFH sales are down 1%.

Nov 27
The 30-day median price is $22,700(5.9%) higher than last year in November.

Nov 27
There is a 72-day supply of single family homes on the market. Last year in Nov, there was a 228-day supply.

Nov 27
12% of single family homes sales in Nov have been for list price or higher.

Nov 27
29% of the homes listed in the past 30 days already have a sale or a conditional sale. Last year was 10%.

Nov 16
Over the past three days, homes have sold for list price or higher in Abbeydale, Arbour Lake, Sage Hill, Strathcona Park, Elboya, McKenzie Lake, Lakeview, Citadel and Sunalta.

Nov 16
Single family home(SFH) sales for the first 15 days of Nov are up 59% compared to last year. Condo sales are up 73%. Compared to the historic average going back to the year 2000, SFH sales are down 5%.

Nov 5
Oct sales of single family homes over $600,000 were 105% higher than last year. (Sep was 35%, Aug 13%, July 9%). Sales of homes under $400,000 were up 36%.

Nov 5
The average CDOM(cumulative days on market which factors in re-lists) during the last week in Oct was 46. The median CDOM was 29.



Oct 2009 stats summary:

The median price of single family homes(SFH) at $410,000 is up $10,100, or 2.5% from Sep. It's up 5.1% from Oct 2008 when it was $390,000.

The SFH average price at $462,464 is up $3,379 or .7% compared to Sep. It's up 3% from Oct 2008 when it was $449,100.

SFH sales price per sq ft at $299 was down $4, or 1.3% compared to Sep. It’s up $9, or 3.1%, from Oct 2008 when it was $290.

Sales of single family homes were up 57% compared to Oct 2008.

Sales of SFH are up 7% compared to the historic average for Oct.

SFH Inventory on Oct 31 was 3003, which is 46% lower than last year.

New listings at 1820 were down 22% compared to last year.

The absorption rate of 2.3 means that we have a 2.3 month, or 69 days, supply of homes on the market. Last year, there was a 6.9 month supply. For homes under $500,000, there is a 1.9 month supply.

Days on Market(DOM) increased to 41 in Oct from 40 in Sep. Last year, it was 48.

28 homes sold for $1 million or more. Last year, there were 20.

Price reductions are down 57% compared to last year. We've averaged 44 price reductions per day over the past week. Last year was 102.
27% of the homes listed in Oct already have a sale or a conditional sale. Last year, it was 9%.

12% of SFH sold for list price or higher. Last month was 13%.

25% of SFH sold during their first 7 days on the market. Last month was 29%.

The median price of condos at 263,500 is down 1,500 or .6% from Sep.

The median price of condos is down $4,500 or 1.7% from Oct 2008.

Condo sales at 601 are up 51% compared to Oct 2008.

 

Oct 30
Realtors are calling on the Alberta government to adopt guidelines for cleaning up houses that have been used for marijuana grow ops and meth labs. Read more in the Herald Realtors want rules to to fix up former grow ops.

Oct 27

Calgary Market Trends page has been updated and it shows continued strength in sales. Single family home 30-day sales are up 49% compared to last year. The median price is up 5%. Inventory is down 44%. Vacant inventory is down 50%.

Oct 26
We've averaged 43 price reductions per day over the past week; last month was 51; last year was 102.

Oct 24
If you haven't checked My Blog recently, there's a lot of insightful discussion happening right now. Leave a comment and tell us if you think we're heading for a crash(or higher prices).

Oct 24
Over the past 90 days, sales are up 20% compared to 2008. For homes over $600,000, sales are up 47%.

Oct 24
The 30-day median price is $19,000(4.9%) higher than last year in October.

Oct 24
There's a 75-day supply of homes for sale in Calgary. Last year in Oct, there was a 207-day supply.

Oct 24
28% of the single family homes listed in the past 30 days already have a sale or a conditional sale. Last year it was 9%.

Oct 22
Three weeks into Oct, sales of SFH are up 63% compared to last year. Historically, going back to the year 2000, sales are up 12%.

Oct 20
Inventory remains low. Active listings are 43% lower than last year.
Calgary Market Trends page has just been updated. It shows fewer homes are selling over list price.

Oct 16
Single family home(SFH) sales for the first 15 days of Oct are up 47% compared to last year. Condo sales are up 42%. Compared to the historic average going back to the year 2000, SFH sales are up 12%.

Oct 13
Inventory of SFH is only 58% of last year's level.

Oct 13
The 30-day median price is $10,000(2.6%) higher than last year on this date.

Oct 11
Have you been looking for a family home in Edgemont where your kids can walk to school? We just listed a 4-bedroom house for $449,900 today.
Edgemont listing. It's near a playground, too! We know this is an attractive listing from all the calls we've already received. Four showings are lined up for tomorrow. Call Kendall Curle if you want to view this hot new listiung 403-809-1101. (Update Oct 13: This home is conditionally sold)

Oct 8
For the first week of October, single family home sales are up 32% compared to last year. Condo sales are up 34%.

Oct 8

Over the past 2 days, 17 single family homes have sold at list price or higher: Edgemont(3), Copperfield(2), Panorama Hills, Parkland, Hamptons, Montgomery, Varsity, Richmond Hill, Braeside, Tuscany, Coventry Hills, Taradale, Silver Springs, Beddington.

Oct 3
Sep sales of single family homes over $600,000 were 35% higher than last year(Aug was 13%, July was 9%). 173 homes sold for $600,000 or higher, while last year there were 128. Sales of homes under $400,000 were up 6%.

Oct 3
The average CDOM(cumulative days on market which factors in re-lists) during the last week in Sep was 52. The median CDOM was 25.


Sep 2009 stats summary:

The median price of single family homes(SFH) at $399,900 is down $100 or .03% from Aug.  It's up 1.2% from Sep 2008 when it was $395,000.

The SFH average price at $459,085 is up $4,955 or 1.1% compared to Aug. It's up 3.4% from Sep 2008 when it was $444,048.

SFH sales price per sq ft at $303 was up $12, or 4.1% compared to Aug. It’s up $8, or 3%, from Sep 2008 when it was $295.

Sales of single family homes were up 9% compared to Sep 2008. 

Sales of SFH are up 2% compared to the historic average for Sep.

SFH Inventory on Sep 30 was 3148, which is 42% lower than last year. 

New listings at 1857 were down 29% compared to last year.

The absorption rate of 2.5 means that we have a 2.5 month, or 75 days, supply of homes on the market. Last year, there was a 4.7 month supply. For homes under $500,000, there is a 1.9 month supply.

Days on Market(DOM) decreased from 42 in Aug to 40 in Sep. Last year, it was 51.

36 homes sold for $1 million or more. Last year, there were 25.

Price reductions are down 55% compared to last year. We've averaged 51 price reductions per day over the past week. Last year was 114.

28% of the homes listed in Sep already have a sale or a conditional sale. Last year, it was 10%.

13% of SFH sold for list price or higher. Last month was 11%.

29% of SFH sold during their first 7 days on the market. Last month was 28%.

The median price of condos at 265,000 is up $5,000 or 1.9% from Aug.

The median price of condos is exactly the same as last year.

Condo sales at 580 are up 25% compared to Sep 2008.


Sep 30
The 30-day average price for single family homes hit a new high for the year yesterday at $457,689. Likewise for condos at $288,989.

Sep 29
Alberta was the province with the fastest demographic growth rate from April to June 2009, at 0.59%.
Read more Stats Canada.

Sep 29
With 2 days remaining in the month, SFH sales in September at 1172 have already surpassed the total Sep sales from 2008 at 1152. Historically, going back to the year 2000, Sep sales are up 1%.

Sep 26
The single family home median price is $5,000 higher than last year in Sep. The average is $13,489 higher.

Sep 26
Here is a table which shows the sales price per sq ft for the past six months as well as Sep last year:

Sales price per sq ft $

Month

2-Storey

Bungalow

Sep 2009

269

359

Aug 2009

264

350

Jul 2009

256

348

Jun 2009

253

357

May 2009

249

337

Apr 2009

247

330

Sep 2008

259

361


Sep 22
28% of the single family homes listed in the past 30 days already have a sale or a conditional sale.

Sep 18
For the period Sep 1 - 17, 2009:

Single family home sales are up 15% compared to last year.
Condo sales are up 24%.
13% of SFH have sold at list price or higher.
30% of SFH were sold during their first 7 days on the market.


Sep 17
Over the past two days, 17 homes have sold at list price or higher: Coventry Hills(2), Somerset, Citadel, Valley Ridge, Varsity, Woodbine, Macewan Glen, Temple, Lake Bonavista, McKenzie Towne, Lakeview, Cambrian Heights, Douglasdale, Saddleridge, Falconridge, Crescent Heights.

Sep 11
Is the Calgary housing market healthy or heading for a crash? Check out our new page Calgary Market Trends, and let us know what you think at My Blog.

Sep 8
For the period Sep 1 - 7, 2009:
Single family home(SFH) sales are up 14% compared to last year.

Condo sales are up 45%
13% of SFH have sold at list price or higher
28% of SFH were sold during their first 7 days on the market.

 


Aug 2009 stats summary:

The median price of single family homes(SFH) at $400,000 is up $10,000 or 2.6% from July.  It's up .5% from Aug 2008 when it was $398,000.

The SFH average price at $454,130 is up $17,348 or 4.0% compared to July. It's up 3.1% from Aug 2008 when it was $440,625.

SFH sales price per sq ft at $291 was up $2, or .7% compared to July. It’s down $6, or 2%, from Aug 2008 when it was $297.

Sales of single family homes were up 9% compared to Aug 2008. 

Sales of SFH are down 5% compared to the historic average for Aug.

Sales for the past 3 months are up 22% compared to 2008.

SFH Inventory on Aug 31 was 3296, which is 40% lower than last year. 

New listings at 1910 were down 16% compared to last year.

The absorption rate of 2.6 means that we have a 2.6 month supply of homes on the market. Last year, there was a 4.7 month supply. For homes under $500,000, there is a 2.1 month supply.

Days on Market(DOM) decreased from 43 in July to 42 in Aug. Last year, it was 52.

28 homes sold for $1 million or more. Last year, there were 24.

Price reductions are down 52% compared to last year. We've averaged 40 price reductions per day over the past week. Last year was 83.

27% of the homes listed in Aug already have a sale or a conditional sale. Last year, it was 18%.

11% of SFH sold for list price or higher.

28% of SFH sold during their first 7 days on the market.

The median price of condos at 260,000 is down $3,000 or 1.1% from July.

The median price of condos is down 3.2% compared to last year.

Condo sales at 632 were up 27% compared to Aug 2008.


Aug 30
Here is a table which shows the sales price per sq ft for the past five months as well as Aug last year.

Sales price per sq ft $

Month

2-Storey

Bungalow

Aug 2009

264

348

Jul 2009

256

348

Jun 2009

253

357

May 2009

249

337

Apr 2009

247

330

Aug 2008

265

355

Aug 29
27% of the homes listed in the past 30 days already have a sale or a conditional sale.

Aug 29
August sales for both SFH and condos have already surpassed last year's August totals.

Aug 28
10 single family homes sold at/over list price yesterday: Glendale, Saddleridge, Evergreen, Tuxedo, Highland Park, Mount Pleasant, Royal Oak, Thorncliffe, Marlborough Park, Woodbine.

Aug 27
88% of the respondents to the Calgary Herald's online poll believe bloggers who post anonymous slander SHOULD NOT have their identity protected.  857 readers voted.

Aug 27
Predictions Update:
Two-thirds of the year has gone by. How close are the predictions which were made for 2009?
Today's average price is $457,554. The following average prices were predicted for Dec 2009(the price drop required to achieve that price is in brackets):

CREB* $409,509* (5%*)

Garth Turner $354,788 (23%)

Keith in Calgary(aka Carioca Canuck) $313,049 (32%)

RJT(Alberta Bubble Blog) $387,398 (15%)

TD Economics $356,458 (22%)

CIBC World Markets $375,658 (18%)

Squidly (Blog from hell) $225,000 (51%)

*CREB prediction is for Year-to-date price

My prediction, which I made on June 30, was for the median price to be $369,075 on Dec 31. It will have to drop by 7.5% to achieve that.

Aug 26
20% fewer homes have been listed in August compared to last year.

Aug 26
August sales of single family homes(SFH) over $600,000 are up 31% compared to last year. Million dollar sales are up 44%.

Aug 26
The SFH average price at $457,178 is up 4% compared to Aug 2008. The median price at $398,000 is exactly the same.

Aug 26
6 single family homes sold at/over list price yesterday: Palliser, Millrise, Acadia, McKenzie Towne, Coventry Hills, Somerset.

Aug 26
So far in August, 28% of single family homes were sold during their first 7 days on the market.

Aug 25
3 single family homes sold at/over list price yesterday: Harvest Hills, Citadel, Cougar Ridge. In August, 10% of all homes are selling at list price or higher.

Aug 23
Sales of single family homes are up 10% compared to Aug 2008. Condo sales are up 32%.

Aug 22
Thinking of selling your house? Would you like to save yourself a big chunk of commission on the sale of your home? I have a buyer who wants a single family home up to $450,000 on the west side(Cougar Ridge, Coach Hill, West Springs, Strathcona, Springbank Hill, Richmond Hill), and we can't find anything on MLS. Update: Home has been found, thanks! 

Aug 22
There is a 72-day supply of single family homes on the market today. Last year in August, we had a 141-day supply.

Aug 22
The 30-day average price of single family homes is up 3.4% compared to Aug 2008. The median price is up .1%. The average price today is $455,518; last year was $440,625.


Aug 20
A home in Briar Hill sold yesterday for $177,000 over list price. It was listed for $975,000 and sold for $1,152,000. So far this month, 11% of all homes are selling at list price or higher.

Aug 18
You know you're on the edge when you start to deny that you're "doing it." Here are some photos which show the severe damage that can occur if you let yourself become Addicted to DailyStats.ca. LOL

Aug 17
If you have a good sense of humour, you can vote in my newly posted Online Poll.

Aug 17
A home in Elbow Park set a record yesterday for the highest price ever paid for a home in Calgary at $10.3 million. The previous high price was set last year for a Crescent Heights home which sold for $7.5 million. See
My Blog for more details.

Aug 12
Over the past 30 days, condo sales are up 44% compared to last year. Sales are up 32% compared to the historical average(going back to the year 2000).

Aug 12
8% of the condo sales in August have been at list price or higher.

Aug 12
For the first 11 days in August, 17% of condos were sold during their first 7 days on the market.

Aug 12
28% of the condos listed in the past 30 days already have a sale or a conditional sale.

Aug 8
For the first week in August, 28% of single family homes were sold during their first 7 days on the market.

Aug 8
For the first week in August, 13% of single family homes sold at list price or higher.

Aug 8
Over the past 30 days, condo sales are up 40% compared to last year. Single family home sales are up 16%.

Aug 8
29% of the homes listed in the past 30 days already have a sale or a conditional sale. Last year was 10%.

Aug 5
July sales of single family homes over $600,000 were 9% higher than last year.

Aug 3
The 30-day average price of condos at $288,528 is higher than it was in August 2008.


Aug 2
CDOM(cumulative days on the market) for the past two days of sales is 45. In April it was 67. Homes are selling quicker and fewer are being re-listed.


July 2009 stats summary:

The median price of single family homes(SFH) at $390,000 is down $9,000 or 2.3% from June.  It's down 4.5% from July 2008 when it was $408,500.

The SFH average price at $436,782 is down $10,360 or 2.3% compared to June. It's down 4.3% from July 2008 when it was $456,380.

SFH sales price per sq ft at $289 was up $1, or .35%% compared to June. 

Sales of single family homes were up 21% compared to July 2008. 

Sales of SFH are up 15% compared to the historic average for July.

SFH Inventory on July 31 was 3314, which is 45% lower than last year. 

New listings at 2089 were down 18% compared to last year.

The absorption rate of 2.1 means that we have a 2.1 month supply of homes on the market. Last year, there was a 4.6 month supply. For homes under $500,000, there is a 1.5 month supply. You can see the absorption rate by price range here.

Days on Market(DOM) decreased from 44 in June to 43 in July. Last year, it was 52.

33 homes sold for $1 million or more. Last year, there were 30.

Price reductions are down 61% compared to last year. We've averaged 37 price reductions per day over the past week. Last year was 96.

30% of the homes listed in July already have a sale or a conditional sale. Last year, it was 13%.

11% of SFH sales were for list price or higher.

The median price of condos at $263,000 is down $2,500 or 1% from June.

The median price of condos is down 3.8% compared to last year.

Condo sales at 702 were up 31% compared to July 2008.


 

Jul 31
The record for SFH sales in July was established in 2005 with 1573. To July 30 this year, we have 1510 sales.

Jul 30
For the first 29 days of July, 137(9% of total sales) homes sold during their first 2 days on the market.

Jul 30
The
Homes wanted now! page has recently been updated. I have some new clients looking for specific homes and lots in the inner city.

Jul 30
Over the past week, we've averaged 41 price reductions per day. Last month was 51, last year was 96.


Jul 28
Here's a table which gives the sales price per sq ft over the last four months. You can see that bungalows cost a lot more than an equivalent sized 2-storey:

Sales price per sq ft $

Month

2-Storey

Bungalow

Jul 2009

256

348

Jun 2009

253

357

May 2009

249

337

Apr 2009

247

330

Jul 2008

264

369

Jul 27
A new question has been posted
Take My Online Poll

Jul 23
11% of single family home sales have been for list price or higher in July. Last month was 10%.

Jul 23
Over the past 2 days, 30% of single family homes sold during their first 7 days on the market. Last year, for the same two days, it was 7%.

Jul 18
SFH sales for the first 17 days in July are 22% ahead of last year, and 18% higher than the historical average. Prices are dropping but sales are remaining strong.

Jul 17
The 30-day SFH median price made its first significant decrease yesterday since January, down to $397,000 from the peak of $400,000 on July 2. Based on pending sales, it should continue to drop. The average price has dropped by $6,086 since the peak was reached on July 1. All unfolding as predicted right here on DailyStats.ca.

Jul 17
31% of the homes listed in the past 30 days already have a sale or conditional sale. Last year, it was 12%.

Jul 17
Over the past 2 days, 29% of single family homes sold during their first 7 days on the market.

Jul 16
A new question has been posted
Take My Online Poll

Jul 15
For the first two weeks of July, single family home sales are up 25% compared to last year. We've had 707 sales this year compared to 565 in 2008.

Jul 14
Over the past 2 days, 20% of the SFH new listings were actually "re-lists." They were previously on the market under a different MLS number.

Jul 14
Over the past 7 days, we've averaged 46 price reductions per day(includes SFH and condos). Last year it was 108.

Jul 12
31% of the homes listed in the past 30 days already have a sale or conditional sale. Last year, it was 12%.

Jul 10
Over the past 30 days, sales of homes over $600,000 are 28% higher than last year.

Jul 10
The median price of single family homes is down 2.1% compared to July last year.

Jul 10
Over the past 30 days, sales of single family homes are 22% higher than the historical average(going back to the year 2000).

Jul 9
39 homes have sold at list price or higher in the first 8 days of July.

Jul 9
Over the past week, 28% of single family homes sold during their first 7 days on the market.

Jul 8
Based on pending sales, we can expect a considerable drop in both average and median prices over the next week. The average price of pending sales today is $433,696 and the median is $390,450. The actual sales prices should be lower than that. If this trend continues, the July prices will be well below June's.

Jul 3
Over the past 2 days, 8 homes sold at list price or higher: Bridlewood(2), Hillhurst, Richmond Park/Knobhill, Skyview Ranch, McKenzie Towne, Haysboro, Royal Oak.

Jul 3
The 30-day median price reached $400,000 yesterday. That's an increase of 7% since the low in January when it was $374,700.


Jul 1
180 single family homes sold at list price or higher in July. That was 10% of total SFH sales. Last year it was 4%.

Jul 1

In the last week of June, 26% of SFH sold during their first 7 days on the market.

Jul 1
Happy Canada Day everyone! I hope you enjoy this beautiful day, and count your blessings for having the good fortune of living in this great country of ours.

 


 

June 2009 stats summary:

The median price of single family homes(SFH) at $399,000 is up $9,000 or 2.3% from May.  It's down 2.2% from June 2008 when it was $408,000.

The SFH average price at $447,142 is up $10,715 or 2.5% compared to May. It's down 5.6% from June 2008 when it was $473,774.

SFH sales price per sq ft at $288 was up $9, or 3.2% compared to May. It's down 7% compared to June 2008.

Sales of SFH were up 28% compared to June 2008. 

Sales of  SFH are up 18% compared to the historic average for June.

SFH Inventory on June 30 was 3395, which is 48% lower than last year. 

New listings at 2244 were down 19% compared to last year.

The absorption rate of 1.8 means that we have a 1.8 month supply of homes on the market. Last year, there was a 4.6 month supply. For homes under $500,000, there is a 1.4 month supply. You can see the absorption rate by price range here.

Days on Market(DOM) decreased from 45 in May to 44 in June. Last year, it was 46.

38 homes sold for $1 million or more. Last year, there were 49.

Price reductions are down 63% compared to last year. We've averaged 51 price reductions per day over the past week. Last year was 137.

34% of the homes listed in June already have a sale or a conditional sale. Last year, it was 13%.

The median price of condos at $265,500 is up $10,500 or 4.1% from May.

The median price of condos is down 5.9% compared to last year.

Condo sales at 738 were up 33% compared to June 2008


Jun 29
Last year on June 30 there was a 138-day supply of SFH inventory. This year it's 54 days. On Dec 31, 2008, there was a 258-day supply of homes for sale.

Jun 27
Sales of SFH for the past 30 days are up 26% over last year. Condo sales are up 22%.

Jun 27
Over the past two days, 18 homes have sold at list price or higher: Copperfield(2), Brentwood(2), Ramsay, MacEwan, Hanson Ranch, Hamptons, Richmond Park/Knobhill, Royal Oak, Evergreen, Pineridge, McKenzie Towne, Hidden Valley, Highwood, West Springs, Woodbine, Garrison Green.

Jun 27
For homes under $500,000 there is a 42 supply of SFH on the market, which is firmly into a seller's market. Back in Feb, there was a 140-day supply.

Jun 26
We're averaging 53 price reductions per day over the past week. Last year, it was 137.

Jun 26
Homes listed for $800,000 or more have an average CDOM(cumulative days on the market) of 135.

Jun 25
There were 89 sales of single family homes yesterday. 27 were sold during their first 7 days on the market.

Jun 25
Over the past 6 days, 33 homes have sold at list price or higher: Coventry Hills(5), McKenzie Towne(3), Bridlewood(2), McKenzie Lake(2),  Copperfield, Arbour Lake, Bridgeland, Hawkwood, Scarboro, Royal Oak, North Haven, North Glenmore, Silver Springs, Canyon Meadows, Huntington Hills, Glenbrook, Sundance, Skyview Ranch, Beddington, Cougar Ridge, Briar Hill, Edgemont, Martindale, Ranchlands, Temple.

Jun 22
I'd like to say thanks to everyone for continuing to make this the #1 Calgary realtor website on the Point2 system. In fact, yesterday there were 120 visitors who have logged in 100 or more times. 
Point2 Agents Ratings. When sellers are listing their property, it's a great advantage to have a powerful website to display your home.

My Blog receives an average of 3786% more views than other agents' blogs. That's not a misprint! Calgary real estate blogs.


Jun 22
Compared to the historical average sales for June going back to the year 2000, single family home sales in June are up 10%.

Jun 22
The pace of sales shows no signs of slowing down yet. There are 550 pending SFH sales today. That's about 40% higher than last year at this time. On May 31, there were 431 pendings.

Jun 21
The sales-to-new-listings ratio reached 80% yesterday. That's the highest since Feb 2007.

Jun 21
Inventory continues to drop. Single family home inventory is down 44% compared to last year.

Jun 21
SFH new listings are down 20% compared to last year.

Jun 19
Sales of single family homes are 30% higher than June 2008.

Jun 19
The single family home median price is down 4% compared to June 2008.

Jun 19
There were 71 sales of single family homes yesterday. 25 were sold during their first 7 days on the market.

Jun 19
Over the past 2 days, homes sold at list price or higher in Millrise, Tuscany, Brentwood, Christie Park, Rocky Ridge, Bowness, Canyon Meadows, Cougar Ridge, Dalhousie.


Jun 18
There were 72 sales of single family homes yesterday. 21 were sold during their first 7 days on the market.

Jun 18
31% of the homes listed in the past 30 days already have a sale or a conditional sale. Last year in June it was 13%.

Jun 17
Over the past 4 days, 20 homes have sold at list price or higher: Rocky Ridge(2), Chaparral(2), Shawnessy, Sundance, Arbour Lake, Hawkwood, Tuxedo, Signal Hill, Fairview, Harvest Hills, Huntington Hills, Skyview Ranch, Evergreen, Haysboror, McKenzie Towne, Panorama Hills, Hamptons, Sunnyside.

Jun 15
Over the weekend there were 71 sales of single family homes:

  • 7 homes sold higher than list price. The average overbid was $8,372, or 2.2% over list price.
  • The median CDOM(cumulative days on the market) was 23.
  • 16 homes sold in 7 days or less

Jun 15
Sales of single family homes for the first two weeks of June are up 18% over last year.

Jun 13
BMO economist says the Canadian market is correcting, not busting. Read more in the Herald Housing market blossoms in spring.

Jun 13
Over the past two days, 13 homes have sold at list price or higher: McKenzie Towne(2), Penbrooke, Martindale, Acadia, Mt Pleasant, Douglasridge, Killarney, Arbour Lake, Citadel, Tuscany, Woodbine, Mahogany. For the first 12 days of June, 11% of sales have been at list price or higher.

Jun 13
30% of the single family homes listed in the past 30 days already have a sale or a conditional sale. Last year in June it was 13%.

Jun 13
Sales of single family homes for the past month are up 9% compared to the historical average going back to the year 2000.


Jun 11
Over the past five days, 31 homes have sold at list price or higher: McKenzie Towne(6), Coventry Hills(2), Midnapore, Erinwoods, Hawkwood, Royal Oak, Pineridge, Saddleridge, Country Hills, South Calgary, Altadore, Whitehorn, Monterey park, Copperfield, Hidden Valley, Inglewood, Sage Hill, Evanston, Douglasdale Estates, Arbour Lake, Douglasglen, North Haven Upper, Garrison Green, Collingwood, Hillhurst.

Jun 10
For homes priced at $550,000 or less, the absorption rate of 1.7 signifies that it is now officially a seller's market.  The inventory has dropped to a 51-day supply of active listings. Two weeks ago, the sellers market included homes up to $439,000.

Jun 8
June sales of single family homes are up 22% over last year. Condos are up 9%.


Jun 6
There were 87 sales of single family homes yesterday. 24 were sold during their first 7 days on the market.

Jun 6
Over the past 3 days, 21 homes sold at list price or higher: McKenzie Towne(3), Hidden Valley, Silver Springs, Deer Run, Evanston, Panorama Hills, Springbank Hill, Auburn Bay, Douglasdale, Erlton, Willow Park Estates, Chaparral, Lake Bonavista Estates, Hawkwood, Tuscany, Banff Trail, Shawnessy, Chinook Park, Martindale.

Jun 5
Sales of homes in May under $500,000 were 25% higher than last year. Sales of homes over $600,000 were 8% lower.

Jun 5
Over the past 10 years, the average number of single family home sales in May is 1619. This year, with 1568 sales, we were 3% below the long-term average.

Jun 4
A home in Erlton sold for $100,150 over list price yesterday. A total of 7 homes sold over list price with an average overbid of 3.4%.

Jun 3
Homes sold at list price or higher over the past two days in McKenzie Lake, Copperfield, Canyon Meadows, Haysboro, Tuscany, Chaparral, Panorama Hills, Evergreen, Capitol Hill, Royal Oak, West Hillhurst.

Jun 2
Year-over-year sales in Calgary's housing market increased in May. Read more in the Calgary Herald.

Jun2
39% of respondents to my online poll correctly guessed that home sales in May would be higher than last year. What will happen in June? Take My Online Poll

Jun2
While you're voting in the new online poll, scroll down to the May 29 question. We need to break the tie. Whose analysis is correct, Garth Turner or Worlclass? Is it a good or a bad time to be buying? Take My Online Poll

 


May 2009 stats summary:

The median price of single family homes(SFH) at $390,000 is up $10,000 or 2.6% from Apr.  It's down 6.9% from May 2008 when it was $419,000.

The SFH average price at $436,427 is up $10,116 or 2.4% compared to Apr. It's down 9.0% from May 2008 when it was $479,564.

SFH sales price per sq ft at $279 was up $7, or 2.6% compared to Apr. 

Sales of single family homes were up 16% compared to May 2008. 

SFH Inventory on May 31 was 3861, which is 46% lower than last year. 

New listings at 2235 were down 35% compared to last year.

The absorption rate of 2.4 means that we have a 2.4 month supply of homes on the market. Last year, there was a 5.2 month supply. For homes under $400,000, there is a 1.6 month supply. You can see the absorption rate by price range here.

Days on Market(DOM) decreased from 52 in Apr to 45 in May. Last year, it was 42.

36 homes sold for $1 million or more. Last year, there were 49.

Price reductions are down 63% compared to last year. We've averaged 57 price reductions per day over the past week. Last year was 153.

29% of the homes listed in May already have a sale or a conditional sale. Last year, it was 13%.

The median price of condos at $255,000 is up $4,000 or 1.6% from Apr.

The median price of condos is down 10.5% compared to last year.

Condo sales at 653 were up 13% compared to May 2008.


May 31
What will happen to prices for the remainder of 2009? What will happen to inventory in June? Two new questions have been posted Take My Online Poll

May 31
The median CDOM(cumulative days on market) of the homes sold yesterday was 16.

May 31
Single family homes sold at list price or higher yesterday in Rocky Ridge, Marlborough, Dalhousie.

May 31
Last year on May 31 there was a 156-day supply of SFH inventory. This year it's 75 days. On Dec 31, 2008, there was a 258-day supply of homes for sale.

May 31
28% of the homes listed in May already have a sale or a conditional sale. Last year, it was 13%. Last month(April) it was 20%.

May 31
Sales of single family homes in May at 1567 are the same as the long-term average going back to the year 2000. Sales are up 18% compared to 2008. Condo sales are up 17%.

May 30
Over the past 2 days, single family homes sold at list price or higher in McKenzie Towne(3), Coventry Hills(2), Taradale, Haysboro, Monterey Park, Huntington Hills, Copperfield, Southwood, Palliser, Sunnyside.

May 30
There were 94 sales of single family homes yesterday. 24, or 26%, were sold within their first 7 days on the market.

May 30
Over the past week, the sales to new listings ratio is 90%.

May 29
For homes priced at $439,000 or less, the absorption rate of 1.7 signifies that it is now officially a seller's market.  The inventory has dropped to a 51-day supply of active listings.

May 29
A new question has been posted Take My Online Poll.

May 28
Over the past 2 days, single family homes sold at list price or higher in McKenzie Towne(4), Altadore(2), Kincora, Lake Bonavista Estates, Saddleridge, Richmond Park/Knobhill, Forest Lawn, Shawnessy, Marlborough, Hillhurst, Huntington Hills, Douglasglen, Falconridge.

May 28
There were 72 sales of single family homes yesterday. 14, or 19%, were sold within their first 7 days on the market.

May 27
Since May 1, eight homes in McKenzie Towne have sold at list price or higher.

May 26
In the past month, 317 single family homes have sold in a CDOM(cumulative days on market) of 7 days or less.

May 26
Over the past 3 days, single family homes sold at list price or higher in Radisson, Copperfield, Fairview, Tuscany, Coventry Hills, Huntington Hills, Chaparral, Taradale, Willow Park Estates.

May 26
May sales of single family homes under $400,000 are up 39% compared to last year. Homes over $600,000 are down 9%.

May 24
Single family home(SFH) sales for May are up 11% over last year. Compared to the historical average(going back to the year 2000) sales are down 5%.

May 24
Condo sales for May are up 23% over last year.

May 23
25% of Friday's SFH sales were sold in a cumulative days on market(CDOM) of 7 days or less. The median CDOM of all homes sold was 23.

May 23
Single family homes sold at list price or higher yesterday in Sundance(2), Charleswood, Kingsland, Rosscarrock, New Brighton, McKenzie Towne, Tuscany.

May 23
For the first time in two years, there is a good probability that for May, we will reach 1500 SFH sales in one month. The last time that mark was reached was in June 2007 when there were 1757 sales.

May 22
Where are prices headed? Take My Online Poll.

May 22
Over the past 3 days, single family homes have sold at list price or higher in Coventry Hills, Chaparral, Evergreen, Mt Pleasant, McKenzie Towne, Ranchlands, Copperfield.

May 22
33% of the "New" listings yesterday were actually "Old" listings. They were previously on the market, but had expired and were relisted with a new MLS number.

May 21
27% of the single family homes which were listed in the past 30 days already have a sale or conditional sale. Last year was 13%. Last month(April) was 20%.

May 21
The SFH median price is down 8% compared to May 2008, but has risen by 3% since Jan.

May 20
Do you think inflation will make real estate an attractive investment? Check out the new Blog post.

May 20
Single family home sales in May are up 12% compared to last year. Condo sales are up 24%.

May 20
There is a 54-day supply of homes for sale under $400,000. When it drops to a 51-day supply, it's officially considered a seller's market.

May 20
Over the past 3 days, single family homes have sold at list price or higher in the following communities: Rundle(2), Copperfield, Cougar Ridge, Abbeydale, Huntington Hills.

May 19
There are 4302 fewer homes(SFH and condos) for sale this May compared to last year. That's a drop in inventory of 41%.

May 17
Did you realize that for homes listed this year, recent sales indicate the median time to sell is a very quick 21 days? Did you know there was a "Hidden Market?" Read all about it on My Blog.

May 17
Yesterday, single family homes sold at list price or higher in Shawnessy, Huntington Hills, Royal Oak, Copperfield, and Edgemont.

May 17
Over the past week, 25 single family homes sold or conditionally sold during their first 2 days on the market.

May 16
Over the past 3 days, single family homes have sold at list price or higher in the following communities: Huntington Hills(2), Ranchlands, Copperfield, Evergreen, Evanston, Shawnessy, Coventry Hills, Panorama Hills, Citadel.

May 16
For the first 15 days of May, single family home sales are up 13% compared to last year. Condo sales are up 30%.


May 15
There's an 87-day supply of single family homes on the market. Last year in May, it was a 156-day supply. For the price range below $400,000, there is a 58 day supply(bordering on a seller's market). The Absorption Rate by Price Range page has been updated.

May 13
Single family homes sold at list price or higher yesterday in the following communities: Coventry Hills(2), Copperfield, Acadia, Glendale, Lake Bonavista, Midnapore, and Royal Oak. 14% of total sales were at list price or higher.

May 12
Over the past 3 days, single family homes have sold over list price in Springbank Hill(2), Chaparral, Taradale, McKenzie Towne, and Acadia.

May 12
Over the past week, there was an average of 63 price reductions per day. Last year's number was 148.

May 12
24% of the homes listed in the past 30 days are sold or conditionally sold. Last year it was 14%.

May 12
Over the past 30 days, single family home sales are down 1% compared to last year. Condo sales are up 20%.


May 10
Over the past month, 213 single family homes have sold within their first 7 days on the market. The average price was $411,669.

May 9
Yesterday, single family homes sold at list price or higher in Silver Springs, West Springs, Panorama Hills, and West Hillhurst.


May 8
May sales of condos are up 41% compared to last year. Single family home sales are up 1%.

May 8
Will May sales be higher than last year? Take My Online Poll

May 7
For the first six days of May, 10% of single family homes have sold at list price or higher. Last year, it was 5%.

May 4
Over the past 30 days, sales of single family homes under $400,000 are 22% higher than last year. 742 sales this year compared to 609 in 2008.

May 2
"Calgary's real estate market appears to be stirring back to life." Read more in the Sun Real estate market revived

May 2
What will happen to house prices in May? A new question has been posted Take My Online Poll

May 1
The Calgary Herald has already done a story on the April stats: Calgary resale housing market rebounded in April

May 1
86% of respondents to my online poll predicted that SFH sales in April would be more than 5% lower than last year. Congratulations to the 11% who guessed the correct answer, that sales would be about the same as last year within 5%.


April 2009 stats summary:

The median price of single family homes(SFH) at $380,000 is up $5,000 or 1.3% from Mar.  It's down 9.5% from Apr 2008 when it was $420,000.

The SFH average price at $426,311 is up $5,958 or 1.4% compared to Mar. It's down 10.2% from Apr 2008 when it was $474,564.

SFH sales price per sq ft at $272 was down $1, or .4% compared to Mar. 

Sales of single family homes were down 5% compared to Apr 2008. Year-to-date sales are down 26%.

Sales of homes under $400,000 were 26% higher than last year.

Sales of homes over $600,000 were 25% lower than last year.

SFH Inventory on Apr 30 was 4130, which is 40% lower than last year. 

New listings at 2011 were down 40% compared to last year.

The absorption rate of 3.2 means that we have a 3.2 month supply of homes on the market. This is considered a balanced market, favouring neither the buyer or seller. Last year, there was a 5.1 month supply. For homes under $400,000, there is a 2.1 month supply. You can see the absorption rate by price range
here.

Days on Market(DOM) increased from 48 in Mar to 52 in Apr. Last year, it was 40.

23 homes sold for $1 million or more. Last year, there were 42.

Price reductions are down 61% compared to last year. We've averaged 65 price reductions per day over the past week. Last year was 166.

20% of the homes listed in April already have a sale or a conditional sale. Last year, it was 14%.

The median price of condos at $251,000 is down $9,000 or 3.5% from Mar. It's down 13.5% compared to last year.

Condo sales at 579 were almost the same as last year in April when there were 581.


Apr 29
Sales off SFH in April are down 25% compared to the long-term average. Listings are down 20%.

Apr 29
Condo sales, after being down 50% in January, have rebounded and are now the same as they were last year in April. The condo median price is down 13%.

Apr 29
The Teranet House Price Index shows Calgary prices to the end of Feb are down 8% compared to last year, and down 12% compared to the peak in Aug 2007. Housepriceindex

Apr 28
There are 40% fewer unoccupied homes on the market this year. In April 2008, there were 2969 unoccupied homes for sale. This year, there are 1784.

Apr 26
For single family homes(SFH) priced at $400,000 or less, Calgary is down to a 2.3 month supply. 27% of homes in this price range are being sold or conditionally sold in their first month on the market. They sell in an average CDOM(cumulative days on the market) of 57.

Apr 26
For SFH priced over $600,000, there is an 8.5 month supply of homes on the market. CDOM is 121.

Apr 26
April sales of single family homes are down 10% compared to last year. Condo sales are down 4%.

Apr 25
The SFH absorption rate today, at 3.5, signifies a balanced market in Calgary for the first time in 21 months. It has been a buyer's market since August 2007.

Apr 25
The sales-to-new-listings ratio at 66% is the highest since March 2007.

Apr 22
The highest price of the year was paid for a property today. A home in Mount Royal sold for $4.3 million. Year-to-date, million dollar sales are down 56% compared to last year. The highest price ever paid for a home in Calgary was $7.5 million. Last year, five homes sold for $4 million or more.
 
Apr 22
For the past 30 days, SFH sales are down 12% compared to last year. Condo sales are down 5%.

Apr 22
20% of the single family homes listed in the past 30 days already have a sale or a conditional sale. Last year in April, it was 14%.

Apr 20
Last year we reached 10,000 active listings in April, and they were still growing. This year, we have about 6400 listings and they are holding steady or dropping slightly. That includes both single family homes and condos.

Apr 19
Price reductions are averaging 64 per day. Last year, there were 166 per day in April. That includes both single family homes and condos.

Apr 18
There were 7 single family home sales yesterday where the sale price was equal to, or over, list price. A home in Willow Park sold for $19,100 over list price. A home in Bowness sold for $2,200 over list price.

Apr 18
From Dec to April, SFH inventory has increased 13%. Last year, it increased 105%.

Apr 17
There are 1176 fewer vacant listings on the market than last year in April.

Apr 16
Will Calgary's population increase or decrease this year?
Take My Online Poll

Apr 16
The
Absorption Rate by Price Range
 table has been updated. Single family homes under $400,000 are firmly into balanced market conditions. Homes priced $400,000 - $500,000 are moving quickly in that direction.

Apr 16
Condos priced under $300,000 are now moving into balanced market conditions. Overall, there is a 4 month supply of condos on the market. For those priced under $300,000, there is a 3.5 month supply.

Apr 16
You can now buy a single family detached home in Calgary for less than $250,000. There are 29 presently for sale. 48 have sold this year. Last year, only 43 sold in the entire year. In 2007, there were only 17 sales.

Apr 15
There is usually a significant rise in active listings in the month of April, however this year, active listings have declined.

Apr 13
Over the past 30 days, sales of single family homes sold for $300,000 or less are 159% higher than last year. For homes sold for $500,000 or higher, sales are 42% lower.

Apr 12
For single family home sales over the past three days:
- 10 have sold at list price or higher.
- 63% of homes have sold after a price reduction and/or a re-list.
- CDOM(cumulative days on the market) for homes selling without a price reduction is 18.
- Overall CDOM is 67.

Apr 11
For the first 10 days in April, sales of single family homes are down 1% compared to last year, and condo sales are down 3%. SFH new listings are down 48%, and condos are down 41%.

Apr 11
"Focus on buying a home as a place to live, not an investment. That should be a first priority, if not sole purpose in buying residential real estate.” Read more in the Herald
Our home price obsession.

Apr 9
19% of the homes listed in the past 30 days already have a sale or a conditional sale. Last year in April it was 14%.

Apr 8
Will we reach a balanced market this year? A new question has been posted
Take My Online Poll.

Apr 8
There is a 3.9 month supply of single family homes on the market. For homes priced under $400,000, there is only a 2.6 month supply. Above 3.5 is considered a buyer's market, below 3.5 is a balanced market. See the updated 
Absorption Rate by Price Range.

Apr 7
Over the past 30 days, SFH sales are down 21% compared to 2008, and new listings are down 44%.

Apr 5
A new question has been posted 
Take My Online Poll
.

Apr 5
Over the past week, 97 single family homes have sold or conditionally sold in a CDOM(cumulative days on the market) of 7 days or less.

Apr 5
Over the past 30 days, sales of single family homes are down 23% compared to last year. Condos are down 18%.

Apr 5
Fewer homes are coming onto the market this year. Over the past 30 days, new listings of single family homes are down 45% compared to last year. Condos are down 43%.

Apr 4
There are 1642 homes for sale with a list price of $300,000 or less. Last year in April there were 3% more, at 1691.

Apr 2

From today's Herald: "There's a ton of deals out there if you keep on top of it." Read more
Calgary housing market picks up as buyers tiptoe back into market.

Apr 1
Sales of single family homes were down 23% in March compared to March 2008, however, for homes selling under $400,000 the number of sales were up 10%.

Apr 1
60% of respondents to my online poll predicted the median price of SFH in March would be lower than Feb. Congratulations to the 21% who got it right by predicting it would be the same as Feb.
Take My Online Poll


March 2009 stats summary:

The median price of single family homes(SFH) at $375,000 is unchanged from Feb.  It's down 10.7% from Mar 2008 when it was $420,000.

The SFH average price at $420,354 is up $4,785 or 1.2% compared to Feb. It's down 11.4% from Mar 2008 when it was $474,564.

SFH sales price per sq ft at $273 was up $1, or .4%  compared to Feb. 

Sales of single family homes were down 23% compared to Mar 2008. 

SFH Inventory on Mar 28 was 4369, which is 27% lower than last year. 

New listings at 2023 were down 42% compared to last year. March 2009 was the first time where new listings declined from Feb to March. Historically, there is a 20% increase.

The absorption rate of 4.0 means that we have a four month supply of homes on the market. You can see the absorption rate by price range here. For homes under $400,000, there is a 2.7 month supply.

Days on Market(DOM) declined from 51 in Feb to 48 in Mar. Last year, it was 40.

18 homes sold for $1 million or more. Last year, there were 38.

We've averaged 66 price reductions per day over the past week. Last year was 126.

19% of the homes listed in March already have a sale or a conditional sale. Last year, it was 14%.

The median price of condos at $260,000 is up $10,100 or from 4% from Feb.

The median price of condos is down 11.3% compared to last year.

Condo sales were down 21% compared to last year. 
 


Mar 29
Over 1000 single family homes will be sold in March. This is the first time in six months that we've gone over the 1000 threshold. The majority of respondents to my Online Poll predicted that we would not reach 1000 sales in March. Compared to 2008, March sales are down 25%.


Mar 28
There were an average of 65 price reductions per day over the past week. Last year in March, there were 126.

Mar 27
In the past 30 days, 174 new SFH listings sold within the first 7 days on the market.

Mar 27
Alberta’s population continued to have the highest fourth quarter (year over year) growth rate among all provinces, showing an increase from the 2007 fourth quarter. As of January 1, 2009, Alberta’s population was estimated to be 3,632,483. This represents a year over year increase of approximately 91,251 persons (2.58%) since January 1, 2008. Although Alberta’s population growth rate has slowed since 2006, it presently remains double the national rate of 1.21%. Read more 2008 quarterly population reports

Mar 27
Where are prices headed for the remainder of 2009? A new question has been posted
Take My Online Poll

Mar 26
For homes priced under $300,000 there is now only a 2.5 month supply of listings. The
Absorption Rate by Price Range table has been updated and shows there is a continuing trend towards falling absorption rates. There was a 9 month supply of homes on the market in December. That has fallen to just over a 4 month supply today.

Mar 25
There are 770 fewer(-28%) Vacant Listings on MLS than last year at this time. Vacant listings includes unoccupied homes and new homes which have never been lived in.

Mar 25
SFH sales in March are down 25% compared to March 2008. Condo sales are down 20%.

Mar 25
The Teranet - National Bank House Price Index shows Calgary prices have declined 8.2% year-over-year to the end of January. Teranet House Price Index. The Teranet index also shows that home prices in Calgary have increased 55% since June 2005.

MLS numbers(Old Criteria) show the Calgary average price declined 11.2% in January compared to Jan 2008. 

Mar 23
Sales of homes for over $1 million are down 53% in March compared to March 2008. Sales of homes for under $400,000 are up 7%.

Mar 23
There is a five month supply of homes on the market in Calgary.  In the United States, there is almost a ten month supply, but sales rose at their fastest pace in six years in Feb. Read more 
Existing U.S. home sales jump

Mar 23
The Toronto-Dominion Bank has been working with CMHC to determine how it can modify loans to help its customers. "We are really trying to say to our clients and customers: 'Don't wait until you have a problem. If you think you might have a problem, why don't you come talk to us and we can then sit with you and try to get ahead of the problem and do some things?' and we're open to doing things to help get people through it."  Read more in the Globe and Mail Ottawa, banks take action to rescue mortgages.

Mar 21
If you check the
SFH Monthly Summaries or the Condo Monthly Summaries, they are now based on a rolling 30-day criteria. The month-to-date stats are displayed on Mike's site. 


Mar 20
For SF homes listed under $400,000 in the past 30 days, 28% are already sold or conditionally sold(C/S). For homes priced over $400,000, only 11% are sold or C/S.

Mar 19
For SF homes sold under $400,000, there have been 10% more sales this year in March. For homes with a selling price over $600,000, sales are down 44% compared to March 2008.

Mar 19
Sales of SFH in March are down 27% compared to last year. New listings are down 38%.

Mar 19
16% of the homes listed in the past 30 days already have a sale or conditional sale.

Mar 18
Compared to the price on Dec 31, the 30-day average price of SFH is up $4,000, and the median price is down $3,000.

Mar 18
Sales of homes over $1 million are down considerably compared to last year. In the month of March 2008, there were 38 sales. So far this year, with over half the month gone, we only have 10 sales.

Mar 17
Canadian banks are turning down some of the funding that the government is making available to them, a sign that they are recuperating from the financial crisis.The banks have stopped selling the government the full amount of mortgages they could under Ottawa's $125-billion mortgage purchase program, the centrepiece of the federal government's plan to help the industry."We actually don't need a lot of funding right now," a senior banker at one of the big five banks said yesterday. "All of the Canadian banks are pretty flush right now with cash. Read more in the Globe & Ma
il Canadian banks begin to decline federal aid in first sign of recovery

Mar 16
The single family home(SFH) 30-day average price is up $3,000 compared to Feb. Median price and SP/SF are exactly the same as Feb.

Mar 16
Sales of SFH over the past 30 days are down 31% compared to last year. Feb sales were down 34%, and Jan sales were down 49%.

Mar 16
Compared to last year, 35% fewer new listings have come onto the market in the past 30 days.

Mar 16
SFH inventory is 16% lower than last year at this time.

Mar 16
We've averaged 76 price reductions per day over the past week. Last year in March, that number was 126.

Mar 15
With reference to my "What's New" entry of March 5 regarding absorption rates, erroneous information has been posted on this other blog
Alberta Real Estate Watch, moderated by Bearclaw. He states, "The problem with the above metric is it uses the listed price of inventory and the sales price of homes that have actually sold." 

His statement is incorrect.

The absorption rate is based only on list prices, just as it clearly states on the
Table. If sales prices were used, the absorption rate would be lower.

For example, for homes priced under $400,000, there is inventory of 1712. In the past thirty days, 565 sales on homes listed below $400,000 gives you an absorption rate of 3.0.

Using sales prices for homes SOLD under $400,000, there were 606 homes sold for under $400,000 giving you an absorption rate of 2.8.

I know, it's mind boggling and it's easy to see why mistakes are made.

The following correction was posted:
**March 14th Update and Correction from Alberta Real Estate Watch

'I made an assumption that the sold price was used in the above calculation which is not the case. As Bob Truman points out:

The absorption rate is based only on list prices, just as it clearly states on the Table. If sales prices were used, the absorption rate would be lower.

The stat is more accurate than I had alluded to. You know what they say about assumptions. So in this case you can disregard my "context and insight"...'


Mar 13
Fewer homes are coming on to the market this year. For the first 12 days of March, new listings are down 36% compared to last year. Sales were down 27%.

Mar 13
Max Foran, U of C culture professor and historian, in his new book Expansive Discourses: Urban Sprawl in Calgary, 1945-1978 says "To assign unscrupulousness and notoriety to all developers is as unfair and ludicrous as to ascribe inefficiency and corruption universally to the city officials with whom they had to deal." City officials and developers were both highly supportive of the blossoming of new subdivisions, the book reasons.  He credited City Hall this week with releasing the long-range development plan that tries limiting outward expansion, preventing more annexation and encouraging intensified urban developments. Read more in the Herald Few people cared about Calgary's urban sprawl during past development.


Mar 12
The average($410,000) and median($370,000) price have both dropped about $5,000 this month, but based on pending sales we should regain all that back over the next week. The average list price of pendings is at $456,320 today, and the median is $399,900. As far as sales go, pendings are 26% fewer than last year.

Mar 11
There is more evidence today that it is becoming more affordable to buy a home. New home prices are down 6.5% in Calgary. Read more in the Herald
Calgary and Edmonton sees largest contractors' selling price drop.

Mar 11
If you are a regular reader here, you will know that homes priced under $400,000 are selling better than last year, while sales overall are down considerably(year-to-date SFH sales are down 38%). Over the past 30 days, sales of homes under $400,000 are 14% higher than last year. The following report which was released today confirms this trend:

The 2009 RE/MAX First-Time Buyers Report found that improved affordability is prompting many first-time buyers to get off the fence, out of the rental, and into the market. Read more in the Herald Entry level buyers now driving Calgary's home sales.

As of today, 62% of SFH sales this year have been for $400,000 or less.  Last year, 43% of SFH sales were in this range.

Mar 10
After 9 days in March, compared to the same period last year, single family home sales are down 23%. Condo sales are down 21%.

Mar 9
The city of Calgary's sweeping blueprint "Plan It" calls for a vastly upgraded transit network, more dense "urban villages" around the city and strict limits on expansion in Calgary's outskirts. Read more in the Herald
Key urban plan to call for sprawl limits

Mar 9
Will we reach 1000 sales of single family homes in March? It would be the first time in six months where we've reached that target.
Take My Online Poll (If sales are down 26% compared to last year, we would have 1046 sales in March)

Mar 7
SFH sales over the past 30 days are down 26% compared to last year. Sales in Feb were down 34%, and in Jan they were down 49%. 
  
Mar 7
New listings over the past 30 days are down 29% compared to last year. Year-to-date, new listings are down 31%.

Mar 7
The Sales Price/List Price ratio has now risen to 96%. It had been at 95% for a long time. This translates into an asking price of $450,000 fetching a sales price of $432,000.

Mar 7
14% of the homes listed over the past 30 days have already been sold or conditionally sold.

Mar 7
Based on pendings list prices, it looks like the sales price will drop over the next week.


Mar 5
SFH sales are down 29% over the past 30 days, but for homes priced at $400,000 or less, sales are actually 11% higher than they were last year. With an absorption rate of 3.1, homes in this price range are no longer considered to be a buyer's market but have now moved into balanced market conditions.

Mar 5
There are 1629 homes(SFH and condos) on the market with a list price of $300,000 or less. Last year, there were 1301, and in 2007 there were 509.

Mar 5
Over the past 30 days, new listings of SFH are 30% fewer than last year. Condo listings are down 28%.

Mar 5
For the period Jan 1 - Feb 28, here are the declines in Sales Price per Sq Ft for various areas of Calgary compared to the same period last year:
Inner City: -13.1%
NW suburbia: -11.5%
NE suburbia: -16.3%
SW suburbia: -10.4%
SE suburbia: -10.6%
Tuscany: -10.9%
Rundle: -22.4%

The above numbers are based on 2-storey homes.

Mar 4
What will happen to prices in March? A new question has been posted
Take My Online Poll

Mar 4
There is a 4.8 month supply of single family homes on the market. Last week it was 5.3, on Jan 31 it was 7.4, and on Dec 31 it was 8.6. For homes priced under $400,000, there is a 3.1 months supply.
 

Mar 4
An RBC survey finds that within the next two years, 38% of renters plan on buying a house, and 35% of Albertans plan on purchasing. Read more in the Herald 
Home buying in Canada expected to increase: survey.

Mar 4
53% of respondents to my online poll incorrectly predicted the median price in Feb would be lower than it was in Jan. 23% correctly predicted the price would be higher.

Mar 4
A Calgary consultant says frozen credit markets south of the border are the most likely reason that Three Sisters Mountain Village went into receivership. Read more in the Calgary Sun
Three Sisters hangs on.

Mar 3
Here's a simplified, easy-to-understand version of the crisis in the U.S.
The crisis of credit visualized

Mar 3
Bank of Canada cuts key lending rate to .50% Bank of Montreal and Royal Bank of Canada were the first commercial banks to follow the Bank of Canada's move, cutting their prime lending rates by 50 basis points to 2.50% from 3.00%. If you have a variable rate mortage at prime minus .75, your interest rate will now be 1.75%.

Mar 3
Here's the Calgary Herald's take on the Feb numbers
Calgary housing resales pick up in February.

Mar 3
Three Sisters Mountain Village, the Canmore resort specializing in high-end properties, is in receivership. Read more in the Herald
Canmore megaproject developer in receivership

Mar 1
Did you see the recent article in Maclean's about the real estate market? Please read this blog post from my colleague Mike Fotiou
Taken out of context.
 

 

February stats summary:

The median price of single family homes(SFH) at $375,000 is up $300 or .1% from Jan.  It's down 12.4% from Feb 2008 when it was $428,000.

The SFH average price at $415,568 is up .6% compared to Jan. It's down 11.8% from Feb 2008 when it was $471,696.

SFH sales price per sq ft at $272 was up 1% compared to Jan. 

Sales of single family homes were down 34% compared to Feb 2008. 

SFH Inventory on Feb 28 was 4352, which is 13% lower than last year. 

New listings at 2057 were down 31% compared to last year.

The absorption rate of 5.3 means that we have a five month supply of homes on the market. You can see the absorption rate by price range here.

Days on Market(DOM) declined from 62 in Jan to 51 in Feb. Last year, it was 39.


15 homes sold for $1 million or more. Last year, there were 21.

We've averaged 78 price reductions per day over the past week.

The median price of condos at $249,900 is up $6,900 or 2.8% from Jan.


Feb 25
The Teranet - National Bank House Price Index shows Calgary prices have declined 7.6% year-over-year to the end of December.
Teranet House Price Index. The Teranet index also shows that home prices in Calgary have increased 59% since June 2005.

MLS numbers(Old Criteria) show the Calgary price declined 8.6% in December compared to Dec 2007.

Feb 25
Sales of homes(SFH) over $1 million are down 56% compared to Feb last year. Sales of homes under $400,000 are up 5%.

Feb 25
Sales of condos under $250,000 are up 45% compared to Feb last year. For condos priced over $250,000, sales are down 60%.

Feb 25
We're averaging 75 price reductions per day over the past week.

Feb 25
There's a definite trend towards improving SFH sales. Jan sales were down 49% compared to last year. The first week in Feb, sales were down 33%. Over the past week, sales were down 21%.

Feb 25
Some interesting Online Poll results: 50% of respondents are surprised that the median price has risen this month. 51% believe the median price at the end of Feb will be lower than January.

Feb 24
New listings have been declining for six consecutive months, but this month is the first time that inventory is lower than it was the previous year. It's been 30 months since we've seen a year-over-year decline in active listings. Take My Online Poll

Feb 24
The percentage of active listings sitting vacant is lower than last year. For SFH, 28% are listed as unoccupied while last year it was 30%. Condos have declined from 39% to 36%.

Feb 24
13% of the homes listed in the past 30 days already have been sold or are conditionally sold.

Feb 24
The SFH absorption rate continues to drop. Today it is at 5.3, which means we have a five month supply of homes on the market and is considered a buyer's market. Last week it was 5.6, on Jan 31 it was 7.4 and on Dec 31 it was 8.6. The absorption rate for homes listed under $400,000 is at 3.4, which is now entering balanced market conditions.

Feb 24
Sales in Feb for SFH priced under $400,000 are 1% higher than last year. Overall sales of SFH are down 33% compared to last year.

Feb 24
Compared to last year, the price of a 2-storey home has declined 10.5%. Here's a breakdown of the Sales Price per Square Foot for two-storey homes over the past 13 months:

Feb          $247
Jan           $243
Dec          $243
Nov          $250
Oct           $262
Sep          $259
Aug          $264
July          $264
June         $273
May          $268
April         $276
March       $277
Feb           $276

Feb 20
CMHC predicts prices will decrease 6.2% this year, but increase 2.6% next year. Read more in the Herald
Calgary housing market will rebound in 2010:CMHC

Feb 18
President Barack Obama on Wednesday pledged up to $275 billion to help stem a wave of home foreclosures Obama unveils plan for troubled housing market.

Feb 17
It's been a fabulous winter on the cross country ski trails.
One thousand K

Feb 17
"I would not be surprised to see the better part of 25 to 30 per cent of them leave the business . . . simply because they never should have been in the business anyways." Read more in the Herald Calgary realtors leaving the business amidst housing slump.

Feb 17
Are you surprised that median prices have risen this month? Two new questions have been posted
Take My Online Poll.


Feb 14
We're averaging 68 price reductions per day over the past week.

Feb 13
SFH new listings are down 28% compared to Feb 2008. Sales are down 34%.

Feb 13
The SFH absorption rate continues to drop. Today it is at 5.6, which means we have just under a six month supply of homes on the market and is considered a buyer's market. Last week it was 6.5, on Jan 31 it was 7.4 and on Dec 31 it was 8.6.

Feb 11
There is almost a four month supply of single family homes priced under $400,000. For homes priced over $800,000 there is a 23 month supply. See the entire table of
Absorption Rate by Price Range.

Feb 11
There's quite a discrepancy  between my stats and the number of unoccupied condos reported by CMHC. In a story in the Herald today, CMHC reports "8.1 per cent of condos on the resale market were new and vacant." Today's MLS numbers show 37% of condo inventory is new or vacant. You can read the story in the Herald
Vacant condos create unease in  Calgary market. I've kept records of unoccupied listings for two years here Vacant Listings. Last year, 40% of condo inventory was vacant.

Feb 11
For the first 10 days of Feb, single family homes sales are down 35% compared to last year. Condo sales are down 28%.

If you are a cross-country skier, and are looking for the best snow and trail conditions, check out my blog Ski Here

Feb 20
CMHC predicts the average sale price in 2009 will dip by 6.2 per cent to $380,000. However, the CMHC forecast said MLS sales will increase by 10 per cent in 2010 from the year before to 22,000 units and the average sale price will also rise by 2.6 per cent next year to $390,000. Read more in the Herald Calgary housing market will rebound in 2010.


Feb 10 Good News
During the week of Jan 22 - 28, 2009, 92% of the pending sales became firm sales. Compare that to the week of Oct 10 - 16 when only 72% of pendings became firm sales. Very few sales are falling through because of financing problems.

Are people still looking for places to live in Calgary? I recently helped a couple with the purchase of their move-up home. When they placed an ad on Feb 4 to rent their present house, they received 25 calls in the first day. They are also receiving a rental amount which covers their carrying costs.
Feb 9
The 30-day median price of condos has risen $8,000 since Jan 31. Average price and sales price per sq ft is also up.

Feb 9
Sales of condos in Feb are down 42% compared to last year.

Feb 9
Fewer condos are coming on the market this year. New listings in Feb are down 31% compared to to last year.

Feb 9
There's a 5 month supply of homes for sale in the $300,000 - $400,000 price range. For homes priced over $800,000 there's a 26 month supply. See the entire table
Absorption Rate by Price Range

Feb 8
A new question has been posted
Take My Online Poll
.

Feb 8
We've averaged 65 price reductions per day over the past week.
Feb 7
Jay Westman, CEO of Jayman MasterBuilt says in today's Herald, "For the next six months, smart buyers will be able to take advantage of a choice-and-price window that is standing wide open. Builders are motivated to sell off excess inventory and will either write down or sell homes at cost for the next six months. Some homes today are worth as much as $100,000 less." Read more
Buyers enjoy price window.

Feb 7
The SFH 30-day average price, median price, and sales price per sq ft(sp/sf) are all up slightly(less than 1%) compared to Jan month-end.

Feb 7
Sales for the first six days in Feb are down 33% compared to last year. Sales on Jan 31 were down 49% compared to Jan 2008.

Feb 7
Days on the market(DOM) have declined from 62 in Jan to 52 during the first six days of Feb.

Feb 7
Based on pending sales stats, over the next week average price should fall slightly, median price should rise, and sp/sf should rise. Today, the 30-day numbers are: average price $415,221. Median price $375,264. SP/SF 271.

Feb 7
SFH new listings are down 21% compared to Feb 2008.

Feb 7
The absorption rate today is 6.5. That's down from 7.4 on Jan 31, and 8.6 on Dec 31. This means there is a 6 month supply of homes on the market. Last year in Feb, the absorption rate was 4.0.

Feb 7
15% of the homes listed since Jan 1 already have a sale or a conditional sale.

Feb 3
No matter how you look at it Calgary's resale housing market took a beating in January compared with a year ago. Read more in the Herald
Calgary's MLS sales take nosedive


January stats summary:

The median price of single family homes(SFH) at $374,850 is down $5,150 or 1.4% from Dec.  It's down 8.6% from Jan 2008 when it was $410,000.

The SFH average price at $413,049 is down 1% compared to Dec. It's down 9.3% from Jan 2008 when it was 455,297.

SFH sales price per sq ft at $269 was down 1% compared to Dec. 

Sales of single family homes were down 49% compared to Jan 2008. 

SFH Inventory on Jan 31 was 4040, which is 1.1% higher than last year. 

New listings at 2068 were down 32% compared to last year.

The absorption rate of 7.4 means that we have a seven month supply of homes on the market.

Six homes sold for $1 million or more. Last year there were 23.

Jan 30
There are 1560 homes on the market with a list price of $300,000 or less. In Jan 2008, there were 961.

Jan 29
Four single family homes have sold for more than $1 million in January. In Jan 2008, there were 23.

Jan 29
There have been 879, or 32%, fewer new listings of single family homes in January compared to 2008. Sales are down by 52%.

Jan 29
11% of the homes listed in January have a sale or a conditional sale.

Jan 29
There are fewer unoccupied homes this year compared to Jan 2008. 31% of SFH inventory is vacant or brand new. Last year it was 33%. Condos 38% this year compared to 41% last year.

Jan 29
Here's a breakdown of the Sales Price per Square Foot for two-storey homes over the past 14 months:

Jan           $243
Dec          $243
Nov          $250
Oct           $262
Sep          $259
Aug          $264
July          $264
June         $273
May          $268
April         $276
March       $277
Feb           $276
Jan            $272
Dec           $264

Jan 28
The Teranet-National Bank House Price Index  as at Nov 30, 2008 shows Calgary home prices down 7.66% year over year.

Jan 28
We're averaging 54 price reductions per day over the past week.

Jan 28
A new question has been posted Take My Online Poll.

Jan 28
In Canada, on average, citizens require 3.5 years of annual income to purchase a home. In Calgary, it would take 4.8 years. The least affordable markets in Canada were Vancouver(8.4),followed by Victoria (7.4),Kelowna (6.8) and Abbotsford (6.5). Read more in the Herald Calgary homes rated seriously unaffordable.

Jan 26
It looks like sales in January will be down about 55% compared to Jan last year. We will probably end the month with just a few more sales than December's pitiful total. Prices have not changed much from December, but the pending sales foretell a considerable drop over the coming week.

Jan 24
The new president of the Calgary Real estate Board, Bonnie Wegerich, says the time is now for buyers who have been waiting for the right time to buy. She sees a pent-up demand from local buyers who have been waiting for the best moment. Read more in the Herald Better for Buyers.

Jan 24
Real estate author Garth Turner: "the momentum of the market right now is quite negative." Read more in the Herald House prices set for 2% slide


Jan 21
The average MLS sale price for a single-family home in the city will drop by 2 per cent this year while for condos it will decrease by 5 per cent, says the Calgary Real Estate Board in its annual forecast released today. The average MLS sale price is expected to fall to $451,120 for the entire year of sales in 2009 compared with $460,327 in 2008. The average sale price for a condo is expected to drop to $287,300 compared with $302,408 the previous year. Read more in the Calgary Herald
Calgary's MLS sales price to drop 2% for homes, 5% for condos.


Jan 15
The highest price paid for a home this year is $900,000. Last year, there were 23 sales for over a million dollars in January.

Jan 15
Sales of SFH are down 64% compared to 2008.

Jan 1
The median price of single family homes(SFH) in Dec at $380,000 is down $7,300 or 1.9% from Nov.  It's down 6.6% from Dec 2007 when it was $406,788.

Jan 1
The SFH average price in Dec at $417,398 is down 4.2% compared to Nov. It's down 6.6% from Dec 2007 when it was 444,769.

Jan 1
The year-to-date SFH average price is down 2.5% and the median is down 2.9%.

Jan 1
SFH sales price per sq ft at $272 was down 10% compared to Dec 2007.

Jan 1
Sales of single family homes were down 47% compared to Dec 2007. Year-to-date sales are down 27%.

Jan 1
SFH Inventory on Dec 31 was 3860, which is 14.7% higher than last year.

Jan 1
The absorption rate of 8.6 means that we have almost a nine month supply of homes on the market.

Jan 1
Two new questions have been posted
Take My Online Poll

Jan 1
9% of the SFH listed in Dec already have a sale or a conditional sale.

Jan 1
The number of SFH on the market for under $300,000 has almost tripled in the past year. There are 1377 homes(SFH & condo) for sale with a list price of $300,000 or less(last year there were 774 on Jan 1). 330 of those are single family homes(last year 119).

Jan 1
We've averaged 17 price reductions per day over the past week.

Jan 1
Condo median price was down 11.2% compared to Dec 2007. Year-to-date median was down 5.3%.

Jan 1
Condo sales were down 48% compared to Dec 2007. Year-to-date sales were down 31%.

Jan 1
Condo inventory on Dec 31 was 1863 which is 21.4% higher than last year.

 

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