Welcome to First Place Realty 650-2514 Sign in | Help
Jan brings a welcome increase in inventory

Don't get too alarmed or excited when you hear in the media that Jan sales were up 39%. In reality, sales were down 29% compared to the historical average for Jan.

.

Despite the increase in inventory, it's still only 62% of last year's level, and that doesn't make for a good selection of homes for buyers. Let's hope the sales-to-new-listings ratio stays around 40% as that will give inventory some time to catch up and we'll remain in a balanced market.

.

When you see 14% of homes selling at list price or higher, as happened in Jan, you know there's a shortage of product.  I'd prefer to see that figure around zero.

The single family home median price fell $3,000 in Jan, to $398,000. That’s a drop of 1%. The condo price stayed exactly the same as Dec.

Jan 2010 stats summary:

The median price of single family homes(SFH) at $398,000 is down $3,000, or .8% from Dec.  It's up 6.2% from Jan 2009 when it was $374,700.

The SFH average price at $441,217 is down $10,132 or 2.2% compared to Dec. It's up $28,168, or 6.8% from Jan 2009 when it was $413,049.

SFH sales price per sq ft at $299 was down $3, or 1% compared to Dec. It’s up $30, or 11%, from Jan 2009 when it was $269

Sales of single family homes were up 39% compared to Jan 2009. 

Sales of SFH are down 29% compared to the historic average for Jan.

SFH Inventory on Jan 31 was 2513, which is 38% lower than last year. 

New listings at 1822 were down 12% compared to last year.

The absorption rate of 3.3 means that we have a 3.3 month, or 99 days, supply of homes on the market. Last year, there was a 7.4 month supply. For homes under $500,000, there is a 2.6 month supply.

Days on Market(DOM) decreased to 43 in Jan from 47 in Dec. Last year, it was 62.

12 homes sold for $1 million or more. Last year, there were 6.

Price reductions are down 41% compared to last year. We've averaged 32 price reductions per day over the past week. Last year was 54.

31% of the homes listed in Jan already have a sale or a conditional sale. Last year, it was 11%.

14% of SFH sold for list price or higher. Last month was 10%.

31% of SFH sold during their first 7 days on the market. Last month was 21%.

The median price of condos at 265,000 is the same as Dec.

The median price of condos is up $22,000 or 9.1% from Jan 2009.

Condo sales at 376 are up 67% compared to Jan 2009.

Posted: Monday, February 01, 2010 9:55 AM by Bob Truman

Comments

Bob Truman said:

Here's the story from the Herald on the Jan stats Calgary housing market extends gradual recovery

# February 1, 2010 9:53 PM

One of A Kind said:

This market is crazy , just like the stock market . Up and Down almost daily . I think we are seeing a dead cat bounce! I see listing are on the rise again , I wish we had a crystal ball. We are not buying , but are enjoying the play watching in the markets. Bob, I was surprise by the numbers in Jan.

On a another note:

Bob has the city seen a reduction in agents? just wondering how that area is doing ? I would think with the roller coaster ride some might choose to do something else and leave it to those that can weather the changes better.

# February 4, 2010 5:59 AM

Frnk said:

I predict buyer sentiment will turn negative next month after the Dow breaks below 10K tomorrow.

Thus far Calgary buyers have shown a remarkable propensity to purchase at higher prices while being absent when prices decline. With increasing inventory and change in buyer sentiment, I think we'll see last years lows if not lower.

The realestate in the US is making another leg down and price here will follow. We should finally see some longer term semblance of normality in Canada's home valuations when compared to affordability rates.

# February 4, 2010 7:56 PM

sparky said:

Prices in Calgary are flat. People are actually living in their houses. Why is this worth pointing out?

# February 5, 2010 11:58 PM
Leave a Comment

(required)

(required)

(optional)

(required)

Comment Notification

Subscribe to this post's comments using RSS